IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/69373.html

Locating foresight

Author

Listed:
  • Havas, Attila

Abstract

Decision-makers, experts and laymen in different historical periods and in different socio-economic systems shared at least one desire: to know their future in advance or even to influence it for their advantage. They have used very different approaches and methods from spiritual/religious ones to scientific investigations and various modes of planning. This paper is aimed at characterising foresight, first by locating this approach among the various approaches to future-oriented analyses, and then by identifying three types foresight programmes.

Suggested Citation

  • Havas, Attila, 2007. "Locating foresight," MPRA Paper 69373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:69373
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/69373/1/MPRA_paper_69373.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kerstin Cuhls, 2003. "From forecasting to foresight processes-new participative foresight activities in Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2-3), pages 93-111.
    2. Havas, Attila, 2005. "Terminology and Methodology for Benchmarking Foresight Programmes," MPRA Paper 77791, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Auvinen, Heidi & Ruutu, Sampsa & Tuominen, Anu & Ahlqvist, Toni & Oksanen, Juha, 2015. "Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 97-114.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zbyslaw Dobrowolski & Grzegorz Drozdowski & Monika Dobrowolska & Janusz Sobon & Dariusz Sobon, 2021. "Economic Calculus and Weak Signals: Prevention Against Foggy Bottom," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2 - Part ), pages 165-174.
    2. M.A. Komissarova & M.M. Kulikov & M.M. Afanasiev & N.V. Guzenko, 2020. "The Foresight Methodology in Strategic Planning at Regional Level," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(Special 1), pages 77-83.
    3. Andrzej Magruk, 2021. "Analysis of Uncertainties and Levels of Foreknowledge in Relation to Major Features of Emerging Technologies—The Context of Foresight Research for the Fourth Industrial Revolution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Heiskanen, Aleksi & Hurmekoski, Elias & Toppinen, Anne & Näyhä, Annukka, 2022. "Exploring the unknowns – State of the art in qualitative forest-based sector foresight research," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    5. Havas, Attila, 2008. "Universities and the emerging new players: Building futures for higher education," MPRA Paper 66333, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Zbysław Dobrowolski & Grzegorz Drozdowski & Józef Ledzianowski, 2021. "The Competency Niche: An Exploratory Study," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-11, October.
    7. Kutoma J. Wakunuma & Bernd Carsten Stahl, 2014. "Tomorrow’s ethics and today’s response: An investigation into the ways information systems professionals perceive and address emerging ethical issues," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 383-397, July.
    8. Elizabeth Gibson & Tugrul Daim & Edwin Garces & Marina Dabic, 2018. "Technology Foresight: A Bibliometric Analysis to Identify Leading and Emerging Methods," Foresight and STI Governance, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 6-24.
    9. Ribeiro, Barbara E. & Quintanilla, Miguel A., 2015. "Transitions in biofuel technologies: An appraisal of the social impacts of cellulosic ethanol using the Delphi method," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 53-68.
    10. Victor Tiberius & Christoph Rasche, 2011. "Prognosemärkte," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 467-472, April.
    11. Anna Sokolova, 2013. "The integrated approach for Foresight evaluation: the Russian case," HSE Working papers WP BRP 20/STI/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    12. Maresch, Daniela & Gartner, Johannes, 2020. "Make disruptive technological change happen - The case of additive manufacturing," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    13. Lorenzo Di Lucia & Barbara Ribeiro, 2018. "Enacting Responsibilities in Landscape Design: The Case of Advanced Biofuels," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-15, November.
    14. Zbyslaw Dobrowolski, 2020. "Forensic Auditing and Weak Signals: A Cognitive Approach and Practical Tips," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 247-259.
    15. Attila Havas & K. Matthias Weber, 2016. "The ‘fit’ between forward-looking activities and the innovation policy governance sub-system," KRTK-KTI WORKING PAPERS 1601, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    16. Magistretti, Stefano & Dell'Era, Claudio & Verganti, Roberto, 2020. "Searching for the right application: A technology development review and research agenda," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    17. Carolyn J. Cordery & Karen A. Smith & Harry Berger, 2017. "Future scenarios for the charity sector in 2045," Public Money & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 189-196, April.
    18. Yurii Kharazishvili & Aleksy Kwilinski & Oleksandr Sukhodolia & Henryk Dzwigol & Dmytro Bobro & Janusz Kotowicz, 2021. "The Systemic Approach for Estimating and Strategizing Energy Security: The Case of Ukraine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-30, April.
    19. Hussain, M. & Tapinos, E. & Knight, L., 2017. "Scenario-driven roadmapping for technology foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 160-177.
    20. Ville Brummer & Totti Konnola & Ahti Salo, 2009. "FinnSight 2015 – A Foresight Exercise for the Shaping of National Strategies," Foresight and STI Governance, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 3(4), pages 56-65.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • B52 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary; Modern Monetary Theory;
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:69373. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.