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A control chart using copula-based Markov chain models

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  • Long, Ting-Hsuan
  • Emura, Takeshi

Abstract

Statistical process control is an important and convenient tool to stabilize the quality of manufactured goods and service operations. The traditional Shewhart control chart has been used extensively for process control, which is valid under the independence assumption of consecutive observations. In real world applications, there are many types of dependent observations in which the traditional control chart cannot be used. In this paper, we propose to apply a copula-based Markov chain to perform statistical process control for correlated observations. In particular, we consider three methods to obtain the estimates of upper control limit (UCL) and lower control limit (LCL) for the control chart. It is shown by simulations that Joe’s parametric maximum likelihood method provides the most reliable estimates of the UCL and LCL compared to the other methods. We also propose simulation techniques to compute the average run length (ARL) of the proposed charts, which can be used to set the UCL and LCL for a given value of ARL. The piston rings data are analyzed for illustration.

Suggested Citation

  • Long, Ting-Hsuan & Emura, Takeshi, 2014. "A control chart using copula-based Markov chain models," MPRA Paper 57419, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:57419
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/60346/1/MPRA_paper_57419.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Xiaohong & Fan, Yanqin, 2006. "Estimation of copula-based semiparametric time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 307-335, February.
    2. Emura, Takeshi & Chen, Yi-Hau, 2014. "Gene selection for survival data under dependent censoring: a copula-based approach," MPRA Paper 58043, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Genest, Christian & Nešlehová, Johanna G. & Rémillard, Bruno, 2013. "On the estimation of Spearman’s rho and related tests of independence for possibly discontinuous multivariate data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 214-228.
    4. Ying-Chao Hung & Neng-Fang Tseng, 2013. "Extracting informative variables in the validation of two-group causal relationship," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 1151-1167, June.
    5. Emura, Takeshi & Lin, Yi-Shuan, 2013. "A comparison of normal approximation rules for attribute control charts," MPRA Paper 51029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Emura, Takeshi & Konno, Yoshihiko, 2012. "A goodness-of-fit test for parametric models based on dependently truncated data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(7), pages 2237-2250.
    7. Edward Frees & Emiliano Valdez, 1998. "Understanding Relationships Using Copulas," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-25.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Ya-Hsuan Hu & Takeshi Emura, 2015. "Maximum likelihood estimation for a special exponential family under random double-truncation," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 1199-1229, December.
    2. Emura, Takeshi & Lai, Ching-Chieh & Sun, Li-Hsien, 2023. "Change point estimation under a copula-based Markov chain model for binomial time series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 120-137.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Average run length; Clayton model; correlated data; Kendall’s tau; Markov chain;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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