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Linkages between the stock prices and the exchange rates during the global crisis: the case of Romania

Author

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  • Stefanescu, Razvan
  • Dumitriu, Ramona

Abstract

Since the Asian flu several empirical studies revealed that in the crisis circumstances the relationship between the stock prices and the exchange rates could suffer significant changes. Such findings were confirmed during the global crisis that started in 2008. In the case of Romania the global crisis caused sharp shocks on both the capital market and the foreign exchange market. Contagion from the foreign financial markets and some impulses from the national economy led to complex evolutions of both markets, where ascendant and descendent trends alternated. In this paper we study the interactions between the stock prices and the exchange rates during some distinct stages of the recent crisis. We find that contagion from the foreign financial markets, the exchange rates policy changes and the national economy situation had a major impact on the relationship between the stock prices and the exchange rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2011. "Linkages between the stock prices and the exchange rates during the global crisis: the case of Romania," MPRA Paper 43350, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Oct 2011.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:43350
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/43350/1/MPRA_paper_43350.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Pittis, Nikitas & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2002. "Testing for Causality-in-Variance: An Application to the East Asian Markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(3), pages 235-245, July.
    2. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Fischer, Stanley, 1980. "Exchange Rates and the Current Account," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 960-971, December.
    3. Hooi-Hooi Lean & Marwan Halim, 2005. "Bivariate Causality between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices on Major Asian Countries," Monash Economics Working Papers 10/05, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    4. Granger, Clive W. J. & Huangb, Bwo-Nung & Yang, Chin-Wei, 2000. "A bivariate causality between stock prices and exchange rates: evidence from recent Asianflu," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 337-354.
    5. Smith, C. E., 1992. "Stock markets and the exchange rate: A multi-country approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 607-629.
    6. Bartov, Eli & Bodnar, Gordon M, 1994. " Firm Valuation, Earnings Expectations, and the Exchange-Rate Exposure Effect," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1755-1785, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global Crisis; Stock Prices; Exchange Rates; Causality;

    JEL classification:

    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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