Inconsistency of the QMLE and asymptotic normality of the weighted LSE for a class of conditionally heteroscedastic models
This paper considers a class of finite-order autoregressive linear ARCH models. The model captures the leverage effect, allows the volatility to be zero and to reach its minimum for non-zero innovations, and is appropriate for long-memory modeling when infinite orders are allowed. It is shown that the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator is, in general, inconsistent. To solve this problem, we propose a self-weighted least-squares estimator and show that this estimator is asymptotically normal. Furthermore, a score test for conditional homoscedasticity and diagnostic portmanteau tests are developed. The latter have an asymptotic distribution which is far from the standard chi-square. Simulation experiments are carried out to assess the performance of the proposed estimator.
|Date of creation:||2009|
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- Bougerol, Philippe & Picard, Nico, 1992. "Stationarity of Garch processes and of some nonnegative time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 115-127.
- Tim Bollerslev, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity,"
EERI Research Paper Series
EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
- Beran, Jan, 2006. "On location estimation for LARCH processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(8), pages 1766-1782, September.
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