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Biodiversity Risk

Author

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  • Giglio, Stefano
  • Kuchler, Theresa
  • Stroebel, Johannes
  • Zeng, Xuran

Abstract

We explore the effects of physical and regulatory risks related to biodiversity loss on economic activity and asset values. We first develop a news-based measure of aggregate biodiversity risk and analyze how it varies over time. We also construct and publicly release several firm-level measures of exposure to biodiversity risk, based on textual analyses of firms' 10-K statements, a large survey of financial professionals, regulators, and academics, and the holdings of biodiversity-related funds. Exposures to biodiversity risk vary substantially across industries in a way that is economically sensible and distinct from exposures to climate risk. We find evidence that biodiversity risks already affect equity prices: returns of portfolios that are sorted on our measures of biodiversity risk exposure covary positively with innovations in aggregate biodiversity risk. However, our survey indicates that market participants do not perceive the current pricing of biodiversity risks to be adequate.

Suggested Citation

  • Giglio, Stefano & Kuchler, Theresa & Stroebel, Johannes & Zeng, Xuran, 2023. "Biodiversity Risk," SocArXiv n7pbj, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:n7pbj
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/n7pbj
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Johannes Stroebel & Zhenhao Tan & Stephen Utkus & Xiao Xu, 2023. "Four Facts About ESG Beliefs and Investor Portfolios," NBER Working Papers 31114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Ströbel, Johannes & Wurgler, Jeffrey, 2021. "What do you think about climate finance?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16622, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Darwin Choi & Zhenyu Gao & Wenxi Jiang, 2020. "Attention to Global Warming," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(3), pages 1112-1145.
    4. Georgij Alekseev & Stefano Giglio & Quinn Maingi & Julia Selgrad & Johannes Stroebel, 2022. "A Quantity-Based Approach to Constructing Climate Risk Hedge Portfolios," NBER Working Papers 30703, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Giglio, Stefano & Maggiori, Matteo & Stroebel, Johannes & Tan, Zhenhao & Utkus, Stephen & Xu, Xiao, 2023. "Four Facts About Esg Beliefs And Investor Portfolios," SocArXiv dcb93, Center for Open Science.
    6. Maria E. de Boyrie & Ivelina Pavlova, 2020. "Analysing the link between environmental performance and sovereign credit risk," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(54), pages 5949-5966, November.
    7. Bernstein, Asaf & Gustafson, Matthew T. & Lewis, Ryan, 2019. "Disaster on the horizon: The price effect of sea level rise," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 253-272.
    8. Markus Baldauf & Lorenzo Garlappi & Constantine Yannelis & José Scheinkman, 2020. "Does Climate Change Affect Real Estate Prices? Only If You Believe In It," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(3), pages 1256-1295.
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