IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/6rxve_v1.html

"What Kind of Bias Do I Want?" How Cross-Pressured Voters Select Political Media

Author

Listed:
  • da Silva, Lucas Paulo

    (Trinity College Dublin)

Abstract

Media selection is an important form of political behavior that often shapes public opinion and voting. While most people select like-minded media, recent evidence suggests that media markets do not represent the growing populations of cross-pressured voters (CPVs) with "mixed" ideological positions. CPVs consist of two groups: "left-conservatives" are economically leftist and culturally conservative, while "right-progressives" are the reverse. Since CPVs are under-represented by political media outlets, how do they select outlets and content? My theory draws on another type of political behavior -- voting -- and adapts the prominent spatial voting model to political media selection. Hence, I argue that salience shapes outlet selection. Moreover, within an outlet, both salience and outlet ideology influence content selection. I administer a pre-registered survey to British CPVs that simulates the media selection process with two experiments. This is supplemented by large-scale, representative panel data from the UK, US, and Germany. My results indicate that (1) CPVs usually select right-conservative outlets, (2) salience likely has some influence over content selection within outlets, and (3) outlet ideology has a powerful effect on content selection. However, surprisingly, salience might not drive the initial outlet selection process, pointing to new avenues for research. This study has important implications for selective exposure, media effects, public opinion, and voting behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • da Silva, Lucas Paulo, 2026. ""What Kind of Bias Do I Want?" How Cross-Pressured Voters Select Political Media," SocArXiv 6rxve_v1, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:6rxve_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/6rxve_v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/69bacad4d0a19ff2333aa936/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/6rxve_v1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Foos, Florian & Bischof, Daniel, 2022. "Tabloid Media Campaigns and Public Opinion: Quasi-Experimental Evidence on Euroscepticism in England," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 116(1), pages 19-37, February.
    2. Yeon-Koo Che & Konrad Mierendorff, 2019. "Optimal Dynamic Allocation of Attention," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(8), pages 2993-3029, August.
    3. Lucy Barnes & Timothy Hicks, 2018. "Making Austerity Popular: The Media and Mass Attitudes toward Fiscal Policy," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 62(2), pages 340-354, April.
    4. Gidron, Noam, 2022. "Many Ways to be Right: Cross-Pressured Voters in Western Europe," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 146-161, January.
    5. Wagner, Markus & Meyer, Thomas M., 2023. "How do Voters Form Perceptions of Party Positions?," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(4), pages 1351-1362, October.
    6. Steven Chaffee & Stacey Frank, 1996. "How Americans Get Political Information: Print Versus Broadcast News," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 546(1), pages 48-58, July.
    7. Matteo Cinelli & Emanuele Brugnoli & Ana Lucia Schmidt & Fabiana Zollo & Walter Quattrociocchi & Antonio Scala, 2020. "Selective exposure shapes the Facebook news diet," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-17, March.
    8. Anthony Downs, 1957. "An Economic Theory of Political Action in a Democracy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 65(2), pages 135-135.
    9. de Vries, Catherine E. & Hakhverdian, Armen & Lancee, Bram, 2013. "The Dynamics of Voters’ Left/Right Identification: The Role of Economic and Cultural Attitudes," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(2), pages 223-238, December.
    10. Fowler, Anthony, 2020. "Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting?," Quarterly Journal of Political Science, now publishers, vol. 15(2), pages 141-179, April.
    11. Benjamin D Douglas & Patrick J Ewell & Markus Brauer, 2023. "Data quality in online human-subjects research: Comparisons between MTurk, Prolific, CloudResearch, Qualtrics, and SONA," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(3), pages 1-17, March.
    12. Karthik Muralidharan & Mauricio Romero & Kaspar Wüthrich, 2025. "Factorial Designs, Model Selection, and (Incorrect) Inference in Randomized Experiments," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 107(3), pages 589-604, May.
    13. Stokes, Donald E., 1963. "Spatial Models of Party Competition," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 57(2), pages 368-377, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. da Silva, Lucas Paulo, 2026. "Why Cross-Pressured Voters Are Always Right: Media and Mediators," SocArXiv cyhsm_v1, Center for Open Science.
    2. da Silva, Lucas Paulo, 2026. "Online Media Outlets Struggle to Represent Audiences in a Two-Dimensional Ideological Landscape," SocArXiv mzxab_v1, Center for Open Science.
    3. da Silva, Lucas Paulo, 2026. "Measuring Online Media Ideology with Large Language Models and "Multi-Cue Classification"," SocArXiv zmtqp_v1, Center for Open Science.
    4. Burkhard Schipper & Hee Yeul Woo, 2012. "Political Awareness and Microtargeting of Voters in Electoral Competition," Working Papers 124, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    5. Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay & Manaswini Bhalla & Kalysan Chatterjee & Jaideep Roy, 2014. "Ideological Dissent in Downsian Politics," Discussion Papers 14-04, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    6. John Jackson, 2014. "Location, location, location: the Davis-Hinich model of electoral competition," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 159(1), pages 197-218, April.
    7. Fabian Gouret & Guillaume Hollard & Stéphane Rossignol, 2011. "An empirical analysis of valence in electoral competition," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 37(2), pages 309-340, July.
    8. Federico Vaccari, 2023. "Influential news and policy-making," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 76(4), pages 1363-1418, November.
    9. Michael K Miller, 2011. "Seizing the mantle of change: Modeling candidate quality as effectiveness instead of valence," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 23(1), pages 52-68, January.
    10. Lichtin, Florian & Smith, E. Keith & Axhausen, Kay W. & Bernauer, Thomas, 2024. "“How much should public transport services be expanded, and who should pay? Experimental evidence from Switzerland”," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 64-74.
    11. Damien Bol & Philipp Harfst & André Blais & Sona N Golder & Jean-François Laslier & Laura B Stephenson & Karine Van der Straeten, 2016. "Addressing Europe’s democratic deficit: An experimental evaluation of the pan-European district proposal," European Union Politics, , vol. 17(4), pages 525-545, December.
    12. Jason Y Wu, 2019. "A spatial valence model of political participation in China," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 31(2), pages 244-259, April.
    13. Mattozzi, Andrea & Snowberg, Erik, 2018. "The right type of legislator: A theory of taxation and representation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 54-65.
    14. Elham Nikram & Dieter Balkenborg, 2024. "A generalized Hotelling–Downs model with asymmetric candidates," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 26(1), February.
    15. Gersbach, Hans & Tejada, Oriol, 2018. "A Reform Dilemma in polarized democracies," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 148-158.
    16. Jonathon M. Clegg, 2016. "Perception vs Reality: How Does The British Electorate Evaluate Economic Performance of Incumbent Governments In The Post War Period?," Oxford Economic and Social History Working Papers _143, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    17. Zsolt Katona, 2015. "Democracy in product design: Consumer participation and differentiation strategies," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 359-394, December.
    18. Jennings, Colin & Drinkwater, Stephen, 2012. "An Analysis of the Electoral Use of Policy on Law and Order by New Labour," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-77, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    19. Yasushi Asako, 2015. "Partially Binding Platforms: Campaign Promises vis-à-vis Cost of Betrayal," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 66(3), pages 322-353, September.
    20. De Donder, Philippe & Gallego, Maria, 2017. "Electoral Competition and Party Positioning," TSE Working Papers 17-760, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:6rxve_v1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.