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Measuring and assessing the effects of climate policy uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Clara Berestycki
  • Stefano Carattini
  • Antoine Dechezleprêtre
  • Tobias Kruse

Abstract

This study proposes a new indicator of Climate Policy Uncertainty based on newspaper coverage frequency. The indicator currently includes 12 OECD Member Countries and covers the period 1990-2018. The index spikes near major political events and during major discussions around potentially significant climate policy changes. Using a global firm-level dataset, the empirical analysis shows that Climate Policy Uncertainty is associated with economically and statistically significant decreases in investment, particularly in pollution-intensive sectors that are most exposed to climate policies, and among capital-intensive companies. In addition to annual series, the study also provides the indicator at higher frequencies of monthly and quarterly levels, and develops sub-indices that capture the direction of climate policy uncertainty associated with a strengthening or a weakening of climate policies for a sub-set of countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Clara Berestycki & Stefano Carattini & Antoine Dechezleprêtre & Tobias Kruse, 2022. "Measuring and assessing the effects of climate policy uncertainty," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1724, OECD Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:1724-en
    DOI: 10.1787/34483d83-en
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gasparini, Matteo, 2023. "Are financial markets pricing the net zero carbon transition? A reconsideration of the carbon premium," INET Oxford Working Papers 2023-23, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    2. Thomas Allen & Mathieu Boullot & Stéphane Dées & Annabelle de Gaye & Noëmie Lisack & Camille Thubin & Oriane Wegner, 2023. "Using Short-Term Scenarios to Assess the Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Transition," Working papers 922, Banque de France.
    3. Mohammad Arief Rajendra & Sekar Utami Setiastuti, 2023. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Renewable Energy in the United States of America: Evidence from a Non-Linear Threshold Autoregressive Model," Gadjah Mada Economics Working Paper Series 202312012, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    beliefs; climate policy; investment; Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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