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Production Networks, Sectoral Shocks and Aggregate Volatility in a Developing Economy: Insights From Morocco

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  • Ali Elguellab
  • Elhadj Ezzahid

Abstract

The role of the production network in shock propagation has been an issue of considerable interest since the Great Recession. However, the empirical literature has only focused on advanced and emerging countries. This paper aims to contribute to filling this gap by examining the case of Morocco, a developing country belonging to the lower-middle-income group. The question is whether its production network is a factor in amplifying idiosyncratic industry-level shocks or, conversely, a resilience factor. Overall, the findings indicate that this network is relatively sparse and balanced, compared to the sample of 66 countries for which input-output tables were published by the OECD in 2022. Idiosyncratic industry-level shocks have therefore a limited influence on aggregate volatility. In these conditions, it is unlikely that the Moroccan production network would serve as a significant propagation factor for sectoral shocks to the rest of the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Elguellab & Elhadj Ezzahid, 2023. "Production Networks, Sectoral Shocks and Aggregate Volatility in a Developing Economy: Insights From Morocco," Research papers & Policy papers 1972, Policy Center for the New South.
  • Handle: RePEc:ocp:rpaper:rp0523
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    File URL: https://www.policycenter.ma/sites/default/files/2023-11/RP_05-23%20%28Ali%20Elguellab%20%26%20Elhadj%20Ezzahid%29.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baqaee, David Rezza & Farhi, Emmanuel, 2018. "Macroeconomics with Heterogeneous Agents and Input-Output Networks," CEPR Discussion Papers 13006, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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