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Weather, Climate, and Migration in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Jamie T. Mullins
  • Prashant Bharadwaj

Abstract

Do people move as a result of temperature shocks? Documenting weather as a push factor for migration is crucial for informing policy related to climate change and adaptation. This paper studies the impacts of high-temperature days on out-migration from counties in the US. We find that outmigration responds to long-term variation in temperatures, but not to the short-term temperature variations that are commonly leveraged in the literature. We provide evidence consistent with the idea that the effect of long-term variation in temperature is driven by changes in expectations regarding future conditions, and specifically climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Jamie T. Mullins & Prashant Bharadwaj, 2021. "Weather, Climate, and Migration in the United States," NBER Working Papers 28614, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28614
    Note: EEE
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jordan Bisset & Dirk Czarnitzki & Thorsten Doherr, 2022. "High Skilled Mobility Under Uncertainty," Working Papers of Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven 700195, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven.
    2. Pestel, Nico & Oswald, Andrew J., 2021. "Why Do Relatively Few Economists Work on Climate Change? A Survey," IZA Discussion Papers 14885, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Hailemariam, Abebe & Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Appau, Samuelson, 2023. "Temperature, health and wellbeing in Australia," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    4. Xudong An & Stuart A. Gabriel & Nitzan Tzur-Ilan, 2024. "Extreme Wildfires, Distant Air Pollution, and Household Financial Health," Working Papers 24-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    5. Oliva, Paulina, 2024. "Migration and the environment: A look across perspectives," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q0 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General

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