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Risks in China’s Financial System

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  • Zheng Michael Song
  • Wei Xiong

Abstract

Motivated by growing concerns about the risks and instability of China’s financial system, this article reviews several commonly perceived financial risks and discusses their roots in China’s politico-economic institutions. We emphasize the need to evaluate these risks within China’s unique economic and financial systems, in which the state and non-state sectors coexist and the financial system serves as a key tool of the government to fund its economic policies. Overall, we argue that: (1) financial crisis is unlikely to happen in the near future, and (2) the ultimate risk lies with China’s economic growth, as a vicious circle of distortions in the financial system lowers the efficiency of capital allocation and economic growth and will eventually exacerbate financial risks in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng Michael Song & Wei Xiong, 2018. "Risks in China’s Financial System," NBER Working Papers 24230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:24230
    Note: AP CF DEV EFG IFM ME
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:zbw:bofitp:2020_001 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Liu, Jianan & Stambaugh, Robert F. & Yuan, Yu, 2019. "Size and value in China," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 48-69.
    3. Francesco D'Acunto & Michael Weber & Jin Xie & Michael Weber, 2019. "Punish One, Teach A Hundred: The Sobering Effect of Punishment on the Unpunished," CESifo Working Paper Series 7512, CESifo.
    4. Wei Chen & Xilu Chen & Chang-Tai Hsieh & Zheng Song, 2019. "A Forensic Examination of China's National Accounts," NBER Working Papers 25754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Waxman, Andrew & Liang, Yuanning & Li, Shanjun & Barwick, Panle Jia & Zhao, Meng, 2020. "Tightening belts to buy a home: Consumption responses to rising housing prices in urban China," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    6. Chang Ma & John H. Rogers & Sili Zhou, 2019. "The Effect of the China Connect," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-087, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Yi Huang & Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang, 2019. "Saving China’s Stock Market?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(2), pages 349-394, June.
    8. Chang Liu & Wei Xiong, 2018. "China's Real Estate Market," NBER Working Papers 25297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Yi Ding & Wei Xiong & Jinfan Zhang, 2020. "Issuance Overpricing of China’s Corporate Debt Securities," NBER Working Papers 26815, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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