IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/mse/cesdoc/23017.html

Subjective Well-Being of Corporate Managers And Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Financial Stability During the Covid-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Marcin Rzeszutek

    (Faculty of Psychology, University of Warsaw, Poland)

  • Jorgen Vitting Andersen

    (CNRS, Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne)

  • Adam Szyszka

    (Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, Warsaw, Poland)

  • Szymon Talaga

    (The Robert Zajonc Institute for Social Studies, University of Warsaw, Poland)

Abstract

This study aims at connecting the behavioral corporate finance (micro level) perspective and complexity theory along with agent-based modelling in order to analyze the impact of selected behavioral managerial factors on aggregated data related to the financial market stability (macro level). Specifically, we want to explore whether subjective well-being (SWB) of corporate managers (CEOs) impacted their business decisions during the Covid-19 pandemic, and how it may be related to volatility of stock prices and the issue of financial stability during this critical period. Our study is based on a survey of 255 managers of companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland over the period . Using the results of this survey, we build an agent-based model (ABM) calibrated for the specific case of Poland to investigate how decision making of CEOs, stemming from their SWB, influence the stock prices and selected financial market dynamics indicators. The results of our study indicate that the excess volatility of stock prices may be a function of changes of SWB of managers, which in turn could lead to some crashes on the macro level with respect to financial stability

Suggested Citation

  • Marcin Rzeszutek & Jorgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2023. "Subjective Well-Being of Corporate Managers And Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Financial Stability During the Covid-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 23017, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  • Handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:23017
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://mse.univ-paris1.fr/pub/mse/CES2023/23017.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://shs.hal.science/hal-04364100
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lux, Thomas, 1998. "The socio-economic dynamics of speculative markets: interacting agents, chaos, and the fat tails of return distributions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 143-165, January.
    2. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Andrzej Nowak, 2013. "An Introduction to Socio-Finance," Springer Books, Springer, edition 127, number 978-3-642-41944-7, January.
    4. Marcin Rzeszutek & Antoine Godin & Adam Szyszka & Stanislas Augier, 2021. "Managerial overconfidence in capital structure decisions and its link to aggregate demand: An agent-based model perspective," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(8), pages 1-33, August.
    5. George A. Akerlof, 2009. "How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1175-1175.
    6. Baker, Malcolm & Wurgler, Jeffrey, 2013. "Behavioral Corporate Finance: An Updated Survey," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 357-424, Elsevier.
    7. Rzeszutek, Marcin & Godin, Antoine & Szyszka, Adam & Augier, Stanislas, 2020. "Managerial overconfidence in initial public offering decisions and its impact on macrodynamics and financial stability: Analysis using an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    8. Levy, Haim & Levy, Moshe & Solomon, Sorin, 2000. "Microscopic Simulation of Financial Markets," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780124458901.
    9. Bijay Prasad Kushwaha & Atul Shiva & Vikas Tyagi, 2023. "How Investors’ Financial Well-being Influences Enterprises and Individual’s Psychological Fitness? Moderating Role of Experience under Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-22, January.
    10. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard H, 1987. "Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonalit y," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 557-581, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marcin Rzeszutek & Jorgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 1-15, October.
    2. Marcin Rzeszutek & Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04723512, HAL.
    3. Marcin Rzeszutek & Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Post-Print hal-04723512, HAL.
    4. Rzeszutek Marcin & Szyszka Adam & Okoń Szymon, 2023. "Behavioral biases in corporate risk management and investment decisions during the COVID-19 pandemic in Poland," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 59(1), pages 70-76, March.
    5. Rzeszutek, Marcin & Godin, Antoine & Szyszka, Adam & Augier, Stanislas, 2020. "Managerial overconfidence in initial public offering decisions and its impact on macrodynamics and financial stability: Analysis using an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    6. Marcin Rzeszutek & Adam Szyszka & Monika Czerwonka, 2015. "Investors’ Expertise, Personality Traits and Susceptibility to Behavioral Biases in the Decision Making Process," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 9(3), September.
    7. Szymon Lis, 2022. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review," Working Papers 2022-14, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    8. Thomas Holtfort, 2019. "From standard to evolutionary finance: a literature survey," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 207-232, June.
    9. Eduard Marinov, 2017. "The 2017 Nobel Prize in Economics," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 117-159.
    10. Liu, Yi-Fang & Andersen, Jørgen Vitting & Frolov, Maxime & de Peretti, Philippe, 2021. "Synchronization in human decision-making," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Nobel Prize Committee, 2017. "Richard H. Thaler: Integrating Economics with Psychology," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2017-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
    12. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, May.
    13. Szymon Lis, 2024. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review of Empirical Evidence," Papers 2411.13180, arXiv.org.
    14. Maldarella, Dario & Pareschi, Lorenzo, 2012. "Kinetic models for socio-economic dynamics of speculative markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(3), pages 715-730.
    15. Mohamed Es-Sanoun & Jude Gohou & Mounir Benboubker, 2023. "Testing of Herd Behavior In african Stock Markets During COVID-19 Pandemic [Essai de vérification du comportement mimétique dans les marchés boursiers africains au cours de la crise de covid-19]," Post-Print hal-04144289, HAL.
    16. Klodt, Henning & Lehment, Harmen (ed.), 2009. "The Crisis and Beyond," Kiel E-Books, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 60981.
    17. Gric, Zuzana & Ehrenbergerova, Dominika & Hodula, Martin, 2022. "The power of sentiment: Irrational beliefs of households and consumer loan dynamics," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    18. E. Samanidou & E. Zschischang & D. Stauffer & T. Lux, 2001. "Microscopic Models of Financial Markets," Papers cond-mat/0110354, arXiv.org.
    19. Wang, Xiao-Tian & Wu, Min & Zhou, Ze-Min & Jing, Wei-Shu, 2012. "Pricing European option with transaction costs under the fractional long memory stochastic volatility model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1469-1480.
    20. Samiran Jana, 2016. "Effect of Investors’ Sentiment on Indian Stock Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(5), pages 1240-1249, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:23017. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lucie Label (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cenp1fr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.