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Nonstationary ARCH and GARCH with t-Distributed Innovations

Author

Listed:
  • Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen

    (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Anders Rahbek

    (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

Abstract

Consistency and asymptotic normality are established for the maximum likelihood estimators in the nonstationary ARCH and GARCH models with general t-distributed innovations. The results hold for joint estimation of (G)ARCH effects and the degrees of freedom parameter parametrizing the t-distribution. With T denoting sample size, square root T-convergence is shown to hold with closed form expressions for the multivariate covariances.

Suggested Citation

  • Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen & Anders Rahbek, 2015. "Nonstationary ARCH and GARCH with t-Distributed Innovations," Discussion Papers 15-07, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:1507
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jianqing Fan & Lei Qi & Dacheng Xiu, 2014. "Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GARCH Models With Heavy-Tailed Likelihoods," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 178-191, April.
    2. Lumsdaine, Robin L, 1996. "Consistency and Asymptotic Normality of the Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimator in IGARCH(1,1) and Covariance Stationary GARCH(1,1) Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(3), pages 575-596, May.
    3. Berkes, István & Horváth, Lajos, 2003. "The rate of consistency of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 133-143, January.
    4. Christian Francq & Jean‐Michel Zakoïan, 2012. "Strict Stationarity Testing and Estimation of Explosive and Stationary Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(2), pages 821-861, March.
    5. Hall, Peter & Yao, Qiwei, 2003. "Inference in ARCH and GARCH models with heavy-tailed errors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 5875, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Bougerol, Philippe & Picard, Nico, 1992. "Stationarity of Garch processes and of some nonnegative time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 115-127.
    7. Weiss, Andrew A., 1986. "Asymptotic Theory for ARCH Models: Estimation and Testing," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 107-131, April.
    8. Nelson, Daniel B., 1990. "Stationarity and Persistence in the GARCH(1,1) Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(3), pages 318-334, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARCH; GARCH; asymptotic normality; asymptotic theory; consistency; t-distribution; maximum likelihood; nonstationarity.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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