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Tight Money Policies and Inflation Revisited

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  • Bhattacharya, Joydeep
  • Kudoh, Noritaka

Abstract

This paper reconsiders the link between tight money policies and inflation in the spirit of Sargent and Wallace's (1981) influential paper "Some Unpleasaiit Monetarist Arithmetic". A standard neoclassical model with production, capital, bonds, and returii dominated currency is used to study the long-run effects on inflation ofa tightening ofmonetary policy engineered via a open market sale of bonds. The potential for tight money policies to.be inflationary (unpleasant arithmetic) exists even when the real interest rate is below the growth rate of the economy, and such equilibria can bestable. Incontrast, when moneta^policy isconducted viaa fixed inflation-rate rule, the only stable equilibrium is theone that exhibits pleasant arithmetic. The two monetary policy rules'therefore produce sharply different predictions about the likely observability of unpleasant arithmetic in real world economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Kudoh, Noritaka, 2001. "Tight Money Policies and Inflation Revisited," ISU General Staff Papers 200110010700001347, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:200110010700001347
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    Cited by:

    1. Futagami, Koichi & Shibata, Akihisa, 1998. "Budget Deficits and Economic Growth," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 53(3-4), pages 331-354.
      • Futagami, Koichi & 二神, 孝一 & フタガミ, コウイチ & Shibata, Akihisa & 柴田, 章久 & シバタ, アキヒサ, 2003. "Budget Deficits and Economic Growth," Discussion Paper 133, Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    2. Jin, Hao & Wang, Junfeng, 2024. "The effects of a money-financed fiscal stimulus under fiscal stress," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Joydeep Bhattacharya & Joseph H. Haslag, 1999. "Monetary policy arithmetic: some recent contributions," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q III, pages 26-36.
    4. Andreas Schabert, 2006. "Central Bank Instruments, Fiscal Policy Regimes, and the Requirements for Equilibrium Determinacy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(4), pages 742-762, October.
    5. Schabert, Andreas, 2005. "Identifying monetary policy shocks with changes in open market operations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 561-577, April.
    6. Hao Jin & Junfeng Wang, 2023. "The Effects of a Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus Under Fiscal Stress," CAEPR Working Papers 2023-006 Classification-E, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    7. Sergey Pekarski, 2017. "Tight Money and the Sustainability of Public Debt," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(1), pages 191-223, February.
    8. von Thadden, Leopold, 2012. "Monetary policy rules in an OLG model with non-superneutral money," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 147-166.
    9. Vîntu, Denis, 2024. "Scenario Analysis of Laffer Curve (LC) for the Republic of Moldova in Context of 2020’s COVID-19," MPRA Paper 121133, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Feb 2024.
    10. Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Haslag, Joseph, 2003. "Is Reserve Ratio Arithmetic More Pleasant?," Staff General Research Papers Archive 10248, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    11. Michael Bradfield, 2007. "The Kinked Demand Curve with a Conjectural Hitch – A Micro Extension with Macro Implications," Working Papers daleconwp2007-05, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
    12. Joydeep Bhattacharya & Noritaka Kudoh, 2002. "Tight money policies and inflation revisited," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(2), pages 185-217, May.
    13. Vîntu, Denis, 2022. "The Relationship between Inflation, Interest Rate, Unemployment and Economic Growth," MPRA Paper 112931, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2022.
    14. Leopold von Thadden, 2004. "Active monetary policy, passive fiscal policy and the value of pure debt: some further monetarist arithmetic," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 108, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    15. Maxim Nikitin & Steven Russell, 2006. "Monetary policy arithmetic: reconciling theory with evidence," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 348-374, February.
    16. Marco A. Espinosa-Vega & Steven Russell, 2001. "Stability of steady states in a model of pleasant monetarist arithmetic," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2001-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    17. Barnett, Richard C., 2005. "Coordinating macroeconomic policy in a simple AK growth model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 621-647, December.
    18. Carlos Goncalves & Mauro Rodrigues & Fernando Genta, 2022. "Elusive Unpleasantness," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2022_16, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    19. Kudoh, Noritaka, 2005. "Monetary policy arithmetic for a deflationary economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 161-167, May.
    20. Nizam, Ahmed Mehedi, 2021. "Effect of Government Transfer on Money Supply: A Closer Look into the Interaction Between Monetary and Fiscal Policy," MPRA Paper 109394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Cothren, Richard, 2006. "A model of optimal legal restrictions and open market operations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 480-492, September.
    22. von Thadden, Leopold, 2004. "Active monetary policy, passive fiscal policy and the value of public debt: Some further monetarist arithmetic," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 223-251, June.

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    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General

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