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The Effects of the Business Cycle on Oligopoly Coordination: Evidence from the U.S. Rayon Industry

Author

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  • Gallet, Craig A.
  • Schroeter, John R.

Abstract

Recent game-theoretic studies of the effects of the business cycle on oligopoly coordination predict that coordination is weakest when demand is high and expected future profit is lower. An empirical model that uses a conjectural elasticity term to measure the degree of coordination is developed to test for these two effects. The rayon industry of the 1930s is one that exhibited significantly non-competitive condudct that appears to have varied, in degree, with fluctuations in demand. Application of the empirical model to data from this industry produces results that support the predictions of recent theoretical models.

Suggested Citation

  • Gallet, Craig A. & Schroeter, John R., 1995. "The Effects of the Business Cycle on Oligopoly Coordination: Evidence from the U.S. Rayon Industry," Staff General Research Papers Archive 5250, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:5250
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    Cited by:

    1. Orley Ashenfelter & Kathryn Graddy, 2005. "Anatomy of the Rise and Fall of a Price-Fixing Conspiracy: Auctions at Sotheby's and Christie's," Journal of Competition Law and Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(1), pages 3-20.
    2. Ozbugday, F.C., 2011. "Exploring National Concerted Practices in an Open Small Economy : What Does the Change in the Competition Law in the Netherlands Reveal?," Discussion Paper 2011-037, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    3. Kelly Tiller & Shiferaw Feleke & Jane Starnes, 2013. "Federal excise tax increase and its effects on U.S. tobacco production," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 701-717, April.
    4. Rosenbaum, David I. & Sukharomana, Supachat, 2001. "Oligopolistic pricing over the deterministic market demand cycle: some evidence from the US Portland cement industry," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 863-884, May.
    5. John M. Connor, 2003. "Private International Cartels: Effectiveness, Welfare, and Anticartel Enforcement," Working Papers 03-12, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    6. Luis Orea & Jevgenijs Steinbuks, 2018. "Estimating Market Power In Homogenous Product Markets Using A Composed Error Model: Application To The California Electricity Market," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 1296-1321, April.
    7. Craig Gallet, 2002. "Competition in the US lemon market," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 147-149.
    8. Craig Gallet, 1997. "Cyclical fluctuations and coordination in the US steel industry," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 279-285.
    9. Margaret C. Levenstein & Valerie Y. Suslow, 2002. "What Determines Cartel Success?," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers 2002-01, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics.
    10. Andrew Wood, 2005. "Investment interdependence and the coordination of lumpy investments: evidence from the British brick industry," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 37-49.
    11. Donghun Kim, 2006. "Measuring Market Power in a Dynamic Oligopoly Model: The Dallas-Forth Worth Milk Market Case," Working Papers EMS_2006_06, Research Institute, International University of Japan.
    12. Gallet, Craig A., 1997. "Public policy and market power in the rayon industry," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 369-377.
    13. Habtu T. Weldegebriel & Xiuqing Wang & Anthony J. Rayner, 2012. "Price transmission market power and industry technology: a note," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 281-299, August.
    14. Kutlu, Levent & Sickles, Robin C., 2012. "Estimation of market power in the presence of firm level inefficiencies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(1), pages 141-155.
    15. Orea, Luis, 2007. "Estimating Firm-Specific Market Power: A Composed Error Term Approach," Efficiency Series Papers 2007/02, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    16. John A. List, 2009. "The Economics of Open Air Markets," NBER Working Papers 15420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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