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Planting Decisions and Uncertain Consumer Acceptance of Genetically Modified Crop Varieties

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  • Saak, Alexander
  • Hennessy, David A.

Abstract

There exists much uncertainty about consumer attitudes toward genetically modified foods. If it happens that sufficient (insufficient) acres are planted under nonmodified seed to meet postharvest demand, then a price premium will not (will) emerge for the nonmodified varieties. A nonlinearity originates in the fact that a price premium may not be supported. This nonlinearity interacts with demand uncertainty to determine equilibrium plantings and the probability that postharvest varietal prices differ. Also, as planting approaches signals will be broadcast about the nature of postharvest demand. We show how the nonlinearity affects the types of signals that growers will prefer to receive.

Suggested Citation

  • Saak, Alexander & Hennessy, David A., 2002. "Planting Decisions and Uncertain Consumer Acceptance of Genetically Modified Crop Varieties," Staff General Research Papers Archive 5026, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:5026
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    1. repec:dgr:rugsom:05f12 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Craig F. Berning & Brian E. Roe, 2017. "Assessing the National Bioengineered Food Disclosure Standard of 2016: Can Americans Access Electronic Disclosure Information?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-9, May.
    3. Toolsema, L., 2005. "Competition with mandatory labeling of genetically modified products," Research Report 05F12, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    4. Ambec, Stefan & Langinier, Corinne & Marcoul, Philippe, 2011. "Spatial Efficiency of Genetically Modified and Organic Crops," LERNA Working Papers 11.18.352, LERNA, University of Toulouse.
    5. John C. Bernard & John D. Pesek, Jr. & Chunbo Fan, 2004. "Delaware farmers' adoption of GE soybeans in a time of uncertain U.S. adoption," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 81-94.
    6. Durbach, Ian, 2009. "On the estimation of a satisficing model of choice using stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 497-509, June.
    7. Ganiere, Pierre & Chern, Wen S., 2004. "Consumer Acceptance Of Genetically Modified Foods: A Profile Of American Consumers," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19972, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Toolsema, Linda, 2005. "Competition with mandatory labeling of genetically modified products," Research Report 05C12, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    9. Ganiere, Pierre & Chern, Wen S. & Hahn, David E., 2004. "Who Are Proponents And Opponents Of Genetically Modified Foods In The United States?," Working Papers 28315, Ohio State University, Department of Agricultural, Environmental and Development Economics.
    10. repec:dgr:rugsom:05c12 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Saak, Alexander E., 2003. "Identity Preservation And False Non-Gmo Labeling In The Food Supply Chain," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22182, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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