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Macroeconomic trouble and policy challenges in the wake of the financial bust

Author

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  • Angel Asensio

    (CEPN - Centre d'Economie de l'Université Paris Nord (ancienne affiliation) - UP13 - Université Paris 13 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Contrasting with the 1929 great crisis, authorities intervened forcefully in 2008 to stop the disintegration of the financial system. Governments and central banks then sought to revise the prudential regulation in depth. It would be optimistic, however, to believe that prudential measures, alone, could deliver full economic recovery, for the collapse of the 'state of confidence' has fed depressive forces and policy challenges which could hold for a while, even once the financial sector is made safe. On the one hand, the economic slowdown and the direct and indirect assistance provided by the governments to the private sectors are having a heavy impact on public finances, meanwhile, on the other hand, the massive amounts of money which artificially inflated the prices of housing and financial products could produce inflationary pressures in the post-crisis period, unless a new assets bubble is allowed for. Authorities could therefore be facing high unemployment in a damaged context of public deficits and inflationary pressures. The paper aims at discussing these new challenges. The inadequacy of inflation targets and fiscal orthodoxy in a depressed economy is emphasized, and the outlines of a Post Keynesian alternative policy are examined.

Suggested Citation

  • Angel Asensio, 2010. "Macroeconomic trouble and policy challenges in the wake of the financial bust," Working Papers halshs-00496921, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00496921
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00496921
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Angel Asensio, 2009. "Between the cup and the lip," Working Papers halshs-00496911, HAL.
    2. Palley, Thomas I., 2009. "America's exhausted paradigm: Macroeconomic causes of the financial crisis and great recession," IPE Working Papers 02/2009, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2009. "Fiscal Implications of the Global Economic and Financial Crisis," IMF Staff Position Notes 2009/013, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Mr. Fabian Valencia & Mr. Luc Laeven, 2008. "Systemic Banking Crises: A New Database," IMF Working Papers 2008/224, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Paul Davidson, 2008. "Is the current financial distress caused by the subprime mortgage crisis a Minsky moment? or is it the result of attempting to securitize illiquid noncommercial mortgage loans?," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 669-676, July.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2009. "Fiscal Implications of the Global Economic and Financial Crisis," IMF Occasional Papers 2009/002, International Monetary Fund.
    7. International Monetary Fund, 2009. "Fiscal Implications of the Global Economic and Financial Crisis," IMF Staff Position Notes 2009/13, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Angel Asensio, 2009. "Between the cup and the lip," CEPN Working Papers halshs-00496911, HAL.
    9. Geoff Tily, 2006. "Keynes's theory of liquidity preference and his debt management and monetary policies," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 30(5), pages 657-670, September.
    10. Victoria Chick, 1983. "Macroeconomics after Keynes: A Reconsideration of the General Theory," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262530457, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

    alternative macroeconomic policy; monetary policy; fiscal policy; economic crisis; public debt; inflationary pressures;
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