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Une évaluation de la taille de l'économie informelle par un système complet de demande estimé sur données monétaires et temporelles

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  • Armagan Tuna Aktuna-Gunes

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Christophe Starzec

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • François Gardes

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

We use the demand system approach to estimate the size of informal economy in Turkey following the methodology based on the analysis of the individual consumption behaviour proposed by Pissarides, Weber [1989], Lyssiotou et al. [2004] and Fortin et al. [2009]. We extend this method by taking into account both the monetary expenditures and time spent on domestic activities. The necessary information of money and time inputs in consumption on the household's level is obtained by a statistical match of the Turkish Family Budget and Time Use surveys [2006]. As expected, the estimated model size of the informal economy in Turkey using the full (time plus money) expenditure is higher than those obtained by only monetary expenditure approach (in average 40.6% and 33.5% of GDP for self employers and 20.7% and 14.1% of GDP for wage-earners respectively) and also higher than that obtained by more conventional macroeconomic methods (35.1%).

Suggested Citation

  • Armagan Tuna Aktuna-Gunes & Christophe Starzec & François Gardes, 2014. "Une évaluation de la taille de l'économie informelle par un système complet de demande estimé sur données monétaires et temporelles," Post-Print halshs-00973494, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00973494
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00973494
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James Banks & Richard Blundell & Arthur Lewbel, 1997. "Quadratic Engel Curves And Consumer Demand," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(4), pages 527-539, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Armagan Tuna Aktuna-Gunes & François Gardes & Christophe Starzec, 2014. "The Size of Informal Economy and Demand Elasticity Estimates Using Full Price Approach: A Case Study for Turkey," Post-Print halshs-01149595, HAL.
    2. Armagan Tuna Aktuna-gunes & Francois Gardes & Christophe Starzec, 2017. "Informal Markets, Domestic Production and Demand Elasticities: A Case Study for Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(3), pages 1496-1513.
    3. Armagan Tuna Aktuna-Gunes, 2015. "Domestic activity patterns pertaining to households and informality in Turkey," Post-Print halshs-01161874, HAL.

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    Keywords

    Informal economy; complete demand system; full expenditures; Economie informelle; système complet de demande; dépenses complètes;
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