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La Chine : avenir du découplage asiatique ?

Author

Listed:
  • Catherine Figuière

    () (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Laëtitia Guilhot

    () (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

L'Asie Orientale est aujourd'hui engagée dans un processus d'intégration économique régionale. Elle regroupe désormais les dix pays de l'ASEAN (Association des Nations d'Asie du Sud Est), auxquels viennent s'ajouter la Chine, le Japon et la Corée du Sud (ASEAN + 3). La thèse défendue ici repose sur les limites actuelles de ce processus qui ne permet pas (encore) à l'Asie d'être protégée des aléas des conjonctures occidentales. Après avoir analysé l'impact de la crise qui démarre en août 2007 aux Etats-Unis pour se diffuser à partir de septembre 2008, sur les pays d'Asie Orientale, cette communication montrera que la "triangularisation" des échanges semble difficilement contournable à court ou moyen terme du fait de l'hétérogénéité des niveaux de développement des pays asiatiques. Le découplage réel s'avère donc difficile à envisager à court terme. Par ailleurs, les variétés de développement expliquent également les disparités entre les systèmes financiers nationaux ce qui rend plus difficile l'analyse de l'éventualité d'un découplage financier et ce qui éclaire que la plupart des pays asiatiques aient été touchés par la crise plus tardivement (par le réel et non directement par le financier, contrairement au Japon).

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine Figuière & Laëtitia Guilhot, 2010. "La Chine : avenir du découplage asiatique ?," Post-Print halshs-00456498, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00456498
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00456498
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Soyoung Kim & Jong‐Wha Lee, 2012. "Real and Financial Integration in East Asia," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 332-349, May.
    2. Soyoung Kim & Jong‐Wha Lee & Cyn‐Young Park, 2011. "Emerging Asia: Decoupling or Recoupling," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 23-53, January.
    3. Adams , Charles & Park, Donghyun, 2009. "Causes and Consequences of Global Imbalances: Perspective from Developing Asia," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 26(1), pages 19-47.
    4. Lee, Jong-Wha & Park, Cyn-Young, 2008. "Global Financial Turmoil: Impact and Challenges for Asia's Financial Systems," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 18, Asian Development Bank.
    5. Rigg, Robert & Schou-Zibell, Lotte, 2009. "The Financial Crisis and Money Markets in Emerging Asia," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 38, Asian Development Bank.
    6. Françoise Lemoine & Deniz Ünal-Kesenci, 2002. "China in the International Segmentation of Production Processes," Working Papers 2002-02, CEPII research center.
    7. E. James, William, 2009. "US International Trade and the Global Economic Crisis," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 179, Asian Development Bank.
    8. Yu Yongding, 2010. "Asia: China's Policy Responses to the Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-10, January.
    9. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:282-291 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Lee, Chee Sung & Park, Cyn-Young, 2009. "Beyond the Crisis: Financial Regulatory Reform in Emerging Asia," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 34, Asian Development Bank.
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