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Neural network regression for Bermudan option pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Bernard Lapeyre

    (CERMICS - Centre d'Enseignement et de Recherche en Mathématiques et Calcul Scientifique - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech, MATHRISK - Mathematical Risk Handling - UPEM - Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - Inria de Paris - Inria - Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique)

  • Jérôme Lelong

    (DAO - Données, Apprentissage et Optimisation - LJK - Laboratoire Jean Kuntzmann - Inria - Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - Grenoble INP - Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes)

Abstract

The pricing of Bermudan options amounts to solving a dynamic programming principle, in which the main difficulty, especially in high dimension, comes from the conditional expectation involved in the computation of the continuation value. These conditional expectations are classically computed by regression techniques on a finite dimensional vector space. In this work, we study neural networks approximations of conditional expectations. We prove the convergence of the well-known Longstaff and Schwartz algorithm when the standard least-square regression is replaced by a neural network approximation. We illustrate the numerical efficiency of neural networks as an alternative to standard regression methods for approximating conditional expectations on several numerical examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernard Lapeyre & Jérôme Lelong, 2021. "Neural network regression for Bermudan option pricing," Post-Print hal-02183587, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02183587
    DOI: 10.1515/mcma-2021-2091
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.univ-grenoble-alpes.fr/hal-02183587v3
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carriere, Jacques F., 1996. "Valuation of the early-exercise price for options using simulations and nonparametric regression," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 19-30, December.
    2. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4273 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Sebastian Becker & Patrick Cheridito & Arnulf Jentzen & Timo Welti, 2019. "Solving high-dimensional optimal stopping problems using deep learning," Papers 1908.01602, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    4. Philip Protter & Emmanuelle Clément & Damien Lamberton, 2002. "An analysis of a least squares regression method for American option pricing," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 449-471.
    5. Martin B. Haugh & Leonid Kogan, 2004. "Pricing American Options: A Duality Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(2), pages 258-270, April.
    6. Ludovic Gouden`ege & Andrea Molent & Antonino Zanette, 2019. "Variance Reduction Applied to Machine Learning for Pricing Bermudan/American Options in High Dimension," Papers 1903.11275, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
    7. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jiang Yu Nguwi & Nicolas Privault, 2023. "A deep learning approach to the probabilistic numerical solution of path-dependent partial differential equations," Partial Differential Equations and Applications, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 1-20, August.
    2. Lukas Gonon, 2022. "Deep neural network expressivity for optimal stopping problems," Papers 2210.10443, arXiv.org.
    3. Hainaut, Donatien & Akbaraly, Adnane, 2023. "Risk management with Local Least Squares Monte-Carlo," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023003, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    4. Zineb El Filali Ech-Chafiq & Pierre Henry-Labordere & Jérôme Lelong, 2021. "Pricing Bermudan options using regression trees/random forests," Working Papers hal-03436046, HAL.
    5. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Zúñiga, 2022. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Post-Print hal-03178306, HAL.
    6. Ludovic Goudenege & Andrea Molent & Antonino Zanette, 2022. "Computing XVA for American basket derivatives by Machine Learning techniques," Papers 2209.06485, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Deep learning; Bermudan options; Regression methods; Optimal stopping; Neural networks; optimal stopping; regression methods; deep learning; neural networks;
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