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Is the emergence of new sovereign wealth funds a fashion phenomenon?

Author

Listed:
  • Jeanne Amar

    (CERGAM - Centre d'Études et de Recherche en Gestion d'Aix-Marseille - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - UTLN - Université de Toulon)

  • Christelle Lecourt

    (AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Valerie Kinon

    (ICHEC - Brussels Management School [Bruxelles])

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to shed light on the question of why a country decides to set up a Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF). Despite the recent financial crisis, 43 SWFs have been created between 2005 and 2014. In particular, we test if the emergence of these new recent funds can be explained by the following economic, political and institutional factors : i) the excess foreign exchange reserves due to natural resources rents or persistent current account surpluses ; ii) the volatility of commodity prices ; iii) a way to mitigate the "Dutch Disease" effect and iv) the governance of the country. We test these hypotheses on a sample of 37 countries that created a SWF over the period 2000-2014 and compare them to a large panel of countries that did not set up a SWF. In order to allow the temporal dimension as well as the unobserved heterogeneity between SWFs, a Logit panel model with random effects is estimated. The results show that countries for which the creation of a SWF is more appropriate are those with foreign exchange excess reserves, which are dependent on a commodity and on its volatility and which suffer from an appreciation of the real exchange rate. We also find that non-democratic countries with a high level of corruption are more likely to create a SWF. Our results may be of interest for policymakers debating whether or not it can be optimal for the country to establish a SWF. "Modern Sovereign Wealth Funds are not new. The first, the Kuwait Investment Office, was set up in 1953 just as Edmund Hillary and Tenzing Norgay were setting out to climb Mount Everest. The number of funds has been increasing since then like the traffic on the slopes of Everest" (John Gieve, former deputy Governor of Bank of England in a speech in London, 2008).

Suggested Citation

  • Jeanne Amar & Christelle Lecourt & Valerie Kinon, 2018. "Is the emergence of new sovereign wealth funds a fashion phenomenon?," Post-Print hal-01897050, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01897050
    DOI: 10.1007/s10290-018-0319-3
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://amu.hal.science/hal-01897050v1
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    Cited by:

    1. Bahoo, Salman & Alon, Ilan & Paltrinieri, Andrea, 2020. "Sovereign wealth funds: Past, present and future," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Ouoba, Youmanli, 2020. "Natural resources fund types and capital accumulation: A comparative analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Megginson, William L. & Gao, Xuechen, 2020. "The state of research on sovereign wealth funds," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    4. Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lecourt, Christelle & Siagh, Souhila, 2024. "Setting up a sovereign wealth fund to reduce currency crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    5. Bruna, Karel & Van Tran, Quang, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on EUR/USD exchange rate and structural shock decomposition in a BVAR model with sign restriction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Joseph Mawejje, 2024. "Fiscal Vulnerabilities in Low-Income Countries: Evolution, Drivers, and Policies," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 42239, April.
    7. Grira, Jocelyn, 2020. "Back to government ownership: The Sovereign Wealth Funds phenomenon," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    8. Pavlidis, Georgios, 2019. "Promoting responsible sovereign lending and borrowing: the role of sovereign wealth funds," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 27(4), pages 443-452.
    9. Gouett, Matthew, 2020. "New wealth, New wisdom: Updating the narrative of sovereign wealth fund creation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • F39 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Other
    • H59 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Other

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