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A plant-level analysis of the spill-over effects of the German Energiewende

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  • Mulder, Machiel
  • Scholtens, Lambertus

    (University of Groningen)

Abstract

In order to analyse international effects of national energy policies, we investigate the spill-over effects of the German Energiewende on the Dutch power market, which is closely connected to the German market. We estimate the impact of the German supply of wind and solar electricity on the Dutch day-ahead price of electricity and the utilisation of the conventional power plants. We take cross-border capacity constraints into account and use hourly plant-level data over 2006–2014. We find that the price elasticity of German wind on Dutch day-ahead prices is −0.03. However, this effect vanishes when the cross-border capacity is fully utilised. We find a modest negative impact on the utilisation of the Dutch power plants. As such, we conclude that the German Energiewende has had modest spill-over effects to the Dutch market. The recent dramatic performance of the Dutch gas-fired plants can be attributed to the changes in the relative prices of coal versus natural gas. We conclude that national energy policies in one country do not necessarily strongly affect neighbouring markets in case of constrained cross-border capacities.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Mulder, Machiel & Scholtens, Lambertus, 2015. "A plant-level analysis of the spill-over effects of the German Energiewende," Research Report 15020-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    • Handle: RePEc:gro:rugsom:15020-eef
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/11370/e89a5ad0-a5bd-4f0c-ab5b-5cda8baa61ce
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    2. De Blauwe, Jilles & Deissenroth-Uhrig, Marc & Mantke, Henrik & Keles, Dogan, 2025. "Cross-border effects on electricity spot prices - a meta-study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    3. Min Li & Kaisheng Long, 2019. "Direct or Spillover Effect: The Impact of Pure Technical and Scale Efficiencies of Water Use on Water Scarcity in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-13, September.
    4. Bouwmeester, Maaike C. & Scholtens, Bert, 2017. "Cross-border investment expenditure spillovers in European gas infrastructure," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 371-380.
    5. Abrell, Jan & Kosch, Mirjam, 2022. "Cross-country spillovers of renewable energy promotion—The case of Germany," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Schischke, Amelie & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2025. "The impact of renewables on spillover effects in electricity markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 399(C).
    7. Jan Málek & Lukáš Recka & Karel Janda, 2017. "Impact of German Energiewende on Transmission Lines in the Central European Region," CAMA Working Papers 2017-72, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

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