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Revisiter le bilan des OMD par la variation du Logit

Author

Listed:
  • Matthieu BOUSSICHAS

    (Ferdi)

  • Vincent NOSSEK

    (Ferdi)

Abstract

Alors qu’ont été récemment définis les 17 objectifs du développement durable (ODD), les 169 cibles à atteindre d’ici 2030 et les 230 indicateurs permettant de les mesurer, peu de travaux s’interrogent sur la pertinence des méthodologies utilisées pour évaluer les progrès de ces indicateurs. Ceux-là sont souvent estimés selon le taux de croissance de l’indicateur. Or, pour de nombreuses variables bornées, la vitesse de croissance est souvent faible aux abords de leur borne inférieure, s’accélère une fois passée un certain seuil, puis ralentit à l’approche de leur maximum. Une telle évolution, non-linéaire, correspond à la représentation graphique de la fonction mathématique Logit. Ce papier présente cette méthodologie et, à titre illustratif, l’applique aux OMD pour mieux en revisiter le bilan.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthieu BOUSSICHAS & Vincent NOSSEK, 2016. "Revisiter le bilan des OMD par la variation du Logit," Working Papers P165, FERDI.
    • Handle: RePEc:fdi:wpaper:3275
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    File URL: http://www.ferdi.fr/sites/www.ferdi.fr/files/publication/fichiers/p165-ferdi-boussichas-nossek.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Degol Hailu & Raquel Tsukada, 2011. "Achieving the Millennium Development Goals: A Measure of Progress," Working Papers 78, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    2. Friedman, Howard Steven, 2013. "Causal Inference and the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs): Assessing Whether There Was an Acceleration in MDG Development Indicators Following the MDG Declaration," MPRA Paper 48793, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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