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Achieving the Millennium Development Goals: A Measure of Progress


  • Degol Hailu

    () (UNDP SURF)

  • Raquel Tsukada

    () (International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth)


This paper introduces a methodology that measures the effort made by countries in achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The methodology compares the rate of progress on MDG indicators in the period before and after the adoption of the MDGs. We correct for two biases ignored in previous methodologies: non-linearity in the rate of change, and effort appreciation. By correcting for the first, we recognise that the rate of progress in MDG indicators is not linear across time. As for the second bias, we note that natural constraints hinder countries from achieving the targets as they approach their upper or lower bound limits. These two corrections allow us to identify countries that are making respectable progress on MDG acceleration, despite their likely ?failure? in achieving the Goals by 2015. (?)

Suggested Citation

  • Degol Hailu & Raquel Tsukada, 2011. "Achieving the Millennium Development Goals: A Measure of Progress," Working Papers 78, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
  • Handle: RePEc:ipc:wpaper:78

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    Cited by:

    1. Fukuda-Parr, Sakiko & Greenstein, Joshua & Stewart, David, 2013. "How Should MDG Success and Failure be Judged: Faster Progress or Achieving the Targets?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 19-30.
    2. repec:eee:wdevel:v:105:y:2018:i:c:p:70-82 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. William Joe & Udaya S Mishra, 2015. "On Reckoning Level Differentials in the Measurement of Progress: An Illustration in the Context of Deliveries Assisted by Skilled Health Personnel," Working Papers id:7306, eSocialSciences.
    4. Matthieu BOUSSICHAS & Vincent NOSSEK, 2016. "Revisiter le bilan des OMD par la variation du Logit," Working Papers P165, FERDI.
    5. Aguirre B., Carlos & Aliaga L., Javier & Herrera J. , Alejandro, 2015. "Cerrando el Círculo: La Educación Superior, el Desarrollo de la Ciencia y Tecnología y el Sistema de Innovación en Bolivia," Documentos de trabajo 9/2015, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
    6. Arianto A. Patunru, 2015. "Access to Safe Drinking Water and Sanitation in Indonesia," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(2), pages 234-244, May.
    7. Matthieu BOUSSICHAS & Vincent NOSSEK, 2016. "Revisiter le bilan des OMD par la variation du Logit," Working Papers P165, FERDI.
    8. Degol Hailu & Raquel Tsukada, 2011. "Measuring MDG Achievements: Rate of Progress Matters Most," One Pager 125, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    9. Tsukada, Rachel & Hailu, Degol, 2016. "The impact of piped water supply on household welfare," MERIT Working Papers 046, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).


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