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SimPathsIT: A life course microsimulation framework for Italy

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  • Richiardi, Matteo
  • Bronka, Patryk
  • Popova, Daria
  • Burdett, Ashley
  • Vartuzova, Mariia

Abstract

This report documents the application of the SimPaths dynamic microsimulation framework – originally developed with reference to the UK – to the Italian context. The report describes model structure and adaptation with respect to the UK template, the input data used, and discusses specification and parameter estimates for all the statistical processes included in the model, with respect to the first public release (July 2025). Validation of the model is performed by comparing simulations started in 2011 with observed survey data for the period 2011-2021, with overall good results. The report concludes with an application to the effects of population ageing on economic dependency ratios and fiscal sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Richiardi, Matteo & Bronka, Patryk & Popova, Daria & Burdett, Ashley & Vartuzova, Mariia, 2025. "SimPathsIT: A life course microsimulation framework for Italy," Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series CEMPA8/25, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:ese:cempwp:cempa8-25
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