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Renewable Energy Zones in Australia’s National Electricity Market

Author

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  • Paul Simshauser

    (Griffith Business School, Griffith University)

Abstract

Australia's National Electricity Market (NEM) operates in one of the world's longest and stringiest transmission networks. The 2016–2020 investment supercycle, in which 13,000 MW of renewables were committed, produced a series of adverse side-effects for various new entrants including connection lags, deteriorating system strength and associated remediation costs, and rising levels of generation curtailment. The NEM's Energy Security Board considered a key source of the problem to be market design and consequential geographic congestion of investments. This implies inadequate locational investment signals exist within the NEMs multi-zonal market design. However, diagnosis suggests NEM locational investment signals – which arise through a combination of site-specific Marginal Loss Factors and multi-zonal spot prices – remain visibly strong. Primary problems revealed through an analysis of the 2016–2020 period include policy discontinuity in prior periods. This in turn caused the supercycle, viz. multiple simultaneous entrants under asymmetric investment conditions. Above all, the supercycle revealed the NEM's rapidly diminishing network hosting capacity for new renewables. Markets participants are seeking to expand renewable capacity, and by implication transmission hosting capacity, faster than existing regulatory frameworks allow. A new policy proposal, known as ‘Renewable Energy Zones’ (REZ), represents a promising means by which to accelerate renewable hosting capacity. In this article, REZs are examined through both i). a consumer-funded regulatory model and ii). a renewable generator-funded market model. A ‘super-sized concessional mezzanine’ facility is presented as a critical element of REZ capital funding. It forms the means by which to optimise and accelerate market-based REZ transmission augmentation, and moderate sponsor risks of transient underutilisation.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Simshauser, 2021. "Renewable Energy Zones in Australia’s National Electricity Market," Working Papers EPRG2103, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
  • Handle: RePEc:enp:wpaper:eprg2103
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    Cited by:

    1. McDonald, Paul, 2024. "Interrelationships of renewable energy zones in Queensland: localised effects on capacity value and congestion," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 818-833.
    2. Paul Simshauser & Farhad Billimoria & Craig Rogers, 2021. "Optimising VRE plant capacity in Renewable Energy Zones," Working Papers EPRG2121, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    3. Simshauser, Paul & Newbery, David, 2024. "Non-firm vs priority access: On the long run average and marginal costs of renewables in Australia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    4. Simshauser, P. & Shellshear, E., 2026. "Renewable Energy Zones: Generator Cost Allocation Under Uncertainty," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2524, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Gohdes, Nicholas & Simshauser, Paul & Wilson, Clevo, 2023. "Renewable investments, hybridised markets and the energy crisis: Optimising the CfD-merchant revenue mix," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    6. Simshauser, Paul, 2024. "On static vs. dynamic line ratings in renewable energy zones," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    7. Clapin, Lachlan & Longden, Thomas, 2024. "Waiting to generate: An analysis of onshore wind and solar PV project development lead-times in Australia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    8. Nicholas Gohdes & Paul Simshauser & Clevo Wilson, 2023. "Renewable investments in hybridised energy markets: optimising the CfD-merchant revenue mix," Working Papers EPRG2306, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    9. White, Lee V. & Fazeli, Reza & Beck, Fiona J. & Baldwin, Kenneth G.H. & Li, Chengzhe, 2025. "Implications for cost-competitiveness of misalignment in hydrogen certification: a case study of exports from Australia to the EU," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    10. Simshauser, Paul, 2025. "Competition vs. coordination: Optimising wind, solar and batteries in renewable energy zones," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Paul Simshauser & Evan Shellshear, 2025. "Renewable Energy Zones: generator cost allocation under uncertainty [Revised version]," Working Papers EPRG2506, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    12. Mwampashi, Muthe Mathias & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Rai, Alan & Konstandatos, Otto, 2022. "Large-scale and rooftop solar generation in the NEM: A tale of two renewables strategies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    13. McDonald, Paul, 2023. "Locational and market value of Renewable Energy Zones in Queensland," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 198-213.
    14. Muhammad Zubair Chishti & Arshian Sharif & Qi Xu & Gagan Deep Sharma, 2024. "Toward sustainable development: Revealing the dynamic impacts of the belt and road initiative on energy transition," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 7069-7095, December.
    15. Paul Simshauser, 2023. "The regulation of electricity transmission in Australia's national electricity market: user charges, investment and access," Working Papers EPRG2311, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    16. Li, Zhenghao & Wang, Meiqiang, 2025. "Allocation of provincial renewable energy power quotas in China: A Supply–Demand balance perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    17. Simshauser, Paul & Billimoria, Farhad & Rogers, Craig, 2022. "Optimising VRE capacity in Renewable Energy Zones," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    18. Silva, Walquiria N. & Rego, Erik Eduardo & Vieira, Giovani G.T.T. & Lourenço, Luís F.N. & Salles, Mauricio B.C., 2025. "An overview of Brazil's electricity market: Planning, dispatch models, pricing, and modernization," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    19. Gohdes, Nicholas, 2023. "Unhedged risk in hybrid energy markets: Optimising the revenue mix of Australian solar," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1363-1380.
    20. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Sinha, Avik & Zaman, Umer & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Exploring the dynamic connectedness among energy transition and its drivers: Understanding the moderating role of global geopolitical risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • D25 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice: Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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