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Ellsberg 1961: text, context, influence

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  • Moscati, Ivan

Abstract

In 1961 Daniel Ellsberg published an article titled “Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms” in the Quarterly Journal of Economics, which became a seminal contribution to the theory of decision-making under uncertainty. This paper analyzes Ellsberg’s 1961 classic, situates it within the context of decision-making theory in the 1950s and early 1960s and within the development of Ellsberg’s ideas, and provides an overview of the experimental and theoretical literature to which it gave rise.

Suggested Citation

  • Moscati, Ivan, 2024. "Ellsberg 1961: text, context, influence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123761, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:123761
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    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/123761/
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. William Fellner, 1961. "Distortion of Subjective Probabilities as a Reaction to Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 75(4), pages 670-689.
    2. Gilboa, Itzhak & Schmeidler, David, 1989. "Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 141-153, April.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • B21 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Microeconomics
    • B31 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought: Individuals - - - Individuals
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • C90 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - General

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