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Analysis of the effects of adjusting for binary non-confounders in a logistic regression model after all true confounders have been accounted for: A simulation study

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  • Ravan Moret
  • Andrew G. Chapple

Abstract

In observational studies, confounding variables that affect both the exposure and an outcome of interest are a general concern. It is well known that failure to control for confounding variables adequately can worsen inference on an exposure’s effect on outcome. In this paper, we explore how exposure effect inference changes when non-confounding covariates are added to the assumed logistic regression model, after the set of all true confounders are included. This is done via an exhaustive simulation study with thousands of randomly generated scenarios to make general statements about over-adjusting in logistic regression. Our results show that in general, adding non-confounders to the regression model decreases the mean squared error for non-null exposure effects. The probability of both type I and type II errors also decrease with addition of more covariates given that all true confounders are controlled for.

Suggested Citation

  • Ravan Moret & Andrew G. Chapple, 2022. "Analysis of the effects of adjusting for binary non-confounders in a logistic regression model after all true confounders have been accounted for: A simulation study," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2022/05, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
  • Handle: RePEc:eei:rpaper:eeri_rp_2022_05
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    File URL: http://www.eeri.eu/documents/wp/EERI_RP_2022_05.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elizabeth J. Williamson & Alex J. Walker & Krishnan Bhaskaran & Seb Bacon & Chris Bates & Caroline E. Morton & Helen J. Curtis & Amir Mehrkar & David Evans & Peter Inglesby & Jonathan Cockburn & Helen, 2020. "Factors associated with COVID-19-related death using OpenSAFELY," Nature, Nature, vol. 584(7821), pages 430-436, August.
    2. Michail Papathomas, 2008. "Correlated Binary Variables and Multi‐level Probability Assessments," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 35(1), pages 169-185, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    regression model; confounding covariates; type I errors; type II errors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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