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A experiência recente do PRONAF em Pernambuco: uma análise através de propensity score

  • Alexandre Rands


    (Datamétrica Consultoria, Pesquisa e Telemarketing)

  • André Magalhães


    (Datamétrica Consultoria, Pesquisa e Telemarketing)

  • Fernando Dias


    (Datamétrica Consultoria, Pesquisa e Telemarketing)

  • Raul Silveira Neto

O objetivo desse trabalho é o de avaliar a experiência do PRONAF junto aos agricultores do estado de Pernambuco. São utilizados dados sobre aproximadamente 4.500 agricultores familiares deste Estado coletados em 2001, divididos entre beneficiários do programa e um grupo de controle. Os resultados são apresentados para a amostra total, excluídos os assentados, e por grupo do PRONAF (B, C e D). As estimativas são corrigidas para a existência de viés de participação com a utilização do método de Propensity Score. Os achados indicam que o PRONAF mostrou-se pouco eficaz em Pernambuco até este período. Quando as diferenças de características e probabilidades de participação do programa são consideradas, os resultados indicam que o programa não tem gerado um impacto significativo para o público alvo em Pernambuco..

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Paper provided by Datamétrica Consultoria Econômica in its series Working Papers with number 29.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision: 2006
Publication status: Published in Revista de Economia Aplicada, v. 10, p. 57-74, 2006.
Handle: RePEc:dtm:wpaper:29
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