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Do Non-Prudent Consumers Ever Engage in Precautionary Saving? Two Observations on Risk and Precautionary Saving

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  • Luigi Ventura
  • Charles Yuji Horioka

Abstract

In this paper, we first show that a particular form of precautionary saving, which we will call “intertemporal precautionary saving” to distinguish it from purely intertemporal and purely precautionary saving, will inevitably arise in the case of pure (downside) risk as long as consumers are risk-averse, even if they are not prudent. We then present a simple example that shows that even pure precautionary saving (i.e., saving generated by risk alone without effects on expected income) may arise as long as consumers are risk-averse, even if they are not prudent and even if risk is speculative (two-sided).

Suggested Citation

  • Luigi Ventura & Charles Yuji Horioka, 2025. "Do Non-Prudent Consumers Ever Engage in Precautionary Saving? Two Observations on Risk and Precautionary Saving," ISER Discussion Paper 1297, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
  • Handle: RePEc:dpr:wpaper:1297
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    JEL classification:

    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D15 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth

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