IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/dar/wpaper/156139.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

In the shadow of country risk: asset pricing model of emerging market corporate bonds

Author

Listed:
  • Vladimirova, Desislava

Abstract

We examine the covariances of corporate bonds in emerging markets (EM) and present an asset pricing framework using instrumented principal component analysis (IPCA) that includes characteristics at the sovereign and bond levels. Our results indicate that EM bond returns are significantly influenced by country-specific risks. Incorporating these characteristics can improve both the total and cross-sectional model fit. We demonstrate that a factor framework tailored to the nuances of the EM universe generates a significant alpha of 2% per annum against the market and a higher information ratio than alternative asset pricing models, such as a conditional beta model designed for developed market (DM) bonds.

Suggested Citation

  • Vladimirova, Desislava, 2025. "In the shadow of country risk: asset pricing model of emerging market corporate bonds," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 156139, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    • Handle: RePEc:dar:wpaper:156139
    DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00370-3
    Note: for complete metadata visit http://tubiblio.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/156139/
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://tuprints.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/29213
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41260-024-00370-3
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41260-024-00370-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maria Correia & Scott Richardson & İrem Tuna, 2012. "Value investing in credit markets," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 572-609, September.
    2. Doron Avramov & Tarun Chordia, 2006. "Asset Pricing Models and Financial Market Anomalies," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(3), pages 1001-1040.
    3. Chordia, Tarun & Goyal, Amit & Nozawa, Yoshio & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar & Tong, Qing, 2017. "Are Capital Market Anomalies Common to Equity and Corporate Bond Markets? An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(4), pages 1301-1342, August.
    4. Baele, Lieven & Inghelbrecht, Koen, 2009. "Time-varying Integration and International diversification strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 368-387, June.
    5. Bektic, D. & Wenzler, J.-S. & Wegener, D. & Schiereck, D. & Spielmann, T., 2019. "Extending Fama–French Factors to Corporate Bond Markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 117111, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    6. Bai, Jennie & Bali, Turan G. & Wen, Quan, 2019. "Common risk factors in the cross-section of corporate bond returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(3), pages 619-642.
    7. Bektic, D. & Wenzler, J.-S. & Schiereck, D. & Spielmann, T., 2019. "Extending Fama-French Factors to Corporate Bond Markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 113059, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    8. Bali, Turan G. & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar & Wen, Quan, 2021. "Long-term reversals in the corporate bond market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(2), pages 656-677.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Desislava Vladimirova, 2024. "In the shadow of country risk: asset pricing model of emerging market corporate bonds," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(5), pages 479-492, September.
    2. Jie Cao & Amit Goyal & Xiao Xiao & Xintong Zhan, 2023. "Implied Volatility Changes and Corporate Bond Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(3), pages 1375-1397, March.
    3. Thuy Duong Dang & Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Zhiguo He, 2023. "Which Factors for Corporate Bond Returns?," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(4), pages 615-652.
    4. Ping Li & Jiahong Li & Dong Wang, 2024. "Anomaly Identification and Premium Mining: Evidence from Chinese Urban Construction Investment Bonds," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 945-974, December.
    5. Bai, Jennie & Bali, Turan G. & Wen, Quan, 2021. "Is there a risk-return tradeoff in the corporate bond market? Time-series and cross-sectional evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(3), pages 1017-1037.
    6. Zhang, Heming & Wang, Guanying, 2021. "Reversal effect and corporate bond pricing in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Guo, Xu & Lin, Hai & Wu, Chunchi & Zhou, Guofu, 2022. "Predictive information in corporate bond yields," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
    8. Liu, Yukun & Wu, Xi, 2023. "How does shareholder governance affect the cost of borrowing? Evidence from the passage of anti-takeover provisions," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2).
    9. Lian, Ziying & Cai, Jun & Webb, Robert I., 2020. "Oil stocks, risk factors, and tail behavior," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Söhnke M. Bartram & Mark Grinblatt & Yoshio Nozawa, 2020. "Book-to-Market, Mispricing, and the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns," NBER Working Papers 27655, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Söhnke M. Bartram & Harald Lohre & Peter F. Pope & Ananthalakshmi Ranganathan, 2021. "Navigating the factor zoo around the world: an institutional investor perspective," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 91(5), pages 655-703, July.
    12. Stephanie Heck, 2022. "Corporate bond yields and returns: a survey," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 36(2), pages 179-201, June.
    13. Karim Henide & Zaryab Ahmar, 2023. "Isolating the female agency-driven development factor in external sovereign emerging market debt," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, December.
    14. Huang, Tao & Jiang, Liang & Li, Junye, 2023. "Downside variance premium, firm fundamentals, and expected corporate bond returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    15. Dekker, Lennart, 2024. "Essays on asset liquidity and investment funds," Other publications TiSEM 5fc9bf77-84e7-4a36-9e3a-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    16. Traut, J. & Simonov, A. & Meitner, M., 2022. "Quantifying Alpha of Active Managers: A Case Study on Factor-Based Performance Attribution in Fixed-Income," Research Journal for Applied Management (RJAM), International School of Management (ISM), Dortmund, vol. 3(1), pages 85-115.
    17. Bali, Turan G. & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar & Wen, Quan, 2021. "Long-term reversals in the corporate bond market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(2), pages 656-677.
    18. Qin, Yiyi & Cai, Jun & Wang, James J.D. & Webb, Robert I., 2023. "Gold-mining stocks, risk factors, and tail patterns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    19. Chen, Wen, 2021. "Equity investor sentiment and bond market reaction: Test of overinvestment and capital flow hypotheses," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    20. Konstantinov, Gueorgui S. & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2021. "Towards a dead end? EMU bond market exposure and manager performance," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dar:wpaper:156139. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dekanatssekretariat (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ivthdde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.