IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cfi/fseres/cf623.html

Real-Time COVID-19 Projections in Tokyo: Lessons for Future Pandemics

Author

Listed:
  • Jianing Chu

    (University of Tokyo)

  • Hongtao Li

    (University of Tokyo)

  • Taisuke Nakata

    (University of Tokyo)

Abstract

We examine the properties of five real-time COVID-19 infection projections in Tokyo. We find that projections tended to be (i) pessimistic, (ii) less accurate during the fifth infection wave, and (iii) optimistic before the peak and pessimistic after the peak. If policymakers and the public were to utilize real-time projections in future pandemics, it would be useful for them to be aware of the properties of these projections.

Suggested Citation

  • Jianing Chu & Hongtao Li & Taisuke Nakata, 2026. "Real-Time COVID-19 Projections in Tokyo: Lessons for Future Pandemics," CARF F-Series CARF-F-623, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    • Handle: RePEc:cfi:fseres:cf623
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.carf.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/wp/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/F623.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cfi:fseres:cf623. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/catokjp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.