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US dollar's slide in April 2025: the role of FX hedging

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  • Hyun Song Shin
  • Philip Wooldridge
  • Dora Xia

Abstract

Currency hedging by non-US investors holding US dollar securities appears to have made an important contribution to the weakness of the dollar in April and May 2025. In recent years, the strength of the dollar and high currency hedging costs driven by elevated short-term dollar interest rates had discouraged non-US investors from hedging their US dollar exposures. Clues as to the location of currency hedging activity can be gleaned from intraday exchange rate movements. In April, the largest declines in the US dollar occurred during Asian trading hours, suggesting an important role for Asian investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Hyun Song Shin & Philip Wooldridge & Dora Xia, 2025. "US dollar's slide in April 2025: the role of FX hedging," BIS Bulletins 105, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisblt:105
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tsvetelina Nenova & Andreas Schrimpf & Hyun Song Shin, 2025. "Global portfolio investments and FX derivatives," BIS Working Papers 1273, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Patrick McGuire & Ilhyock Shim & Hyun Song Shin & Vladyslav Sushko, 2021. "Outward portfolio investment and dollar funding in emerging Asia," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    3. Gordon Y Liao & Tony Zhang, 2025. "The Hedging Channel of Exchange Rate Determination," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 38(1), pages 1-38.
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