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Stochastic Volatility, Jumps, and Rates: A Unified Framework for Option Pricing and Term-Structure Simulation

Author

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  • Nunik Srikandi Putri
  • Ajay Kumar Verma
  • Neo Paul Lesupi

Abstract

This study develops an integrated stochastic modeling framework for pricing short and medium-maturity equity options and assessing interest-rate risk using the Heston (1993), Bates (1996), and CIR (1985) models. We calibrate the Heston model using both the Lewis (2001) Fourier inversion and the Carr-Madan (1999) FFT approach, finding near-identical parameter sets, which is consistent with the calibration stability reported in recent studies such as Agazzotti et al. (2025). Extending the model to Bates shows that jump intensities converge to values effectively equal to zero for 60-day maturities, echoing empirical findings that jumps contribute marginally to short-term smile fitting. We further compare our calibration approach with the joint volatility-surface and variance-term-structure framework proposed by Yoo (2025), confirming that standard Heston/Bates calibration remains robust for the maturities considered. Finally, we calibrate the CIR short-rate model to the Euribor term structure, generating positive and economically consistent forward-rate scenarios in line with recent stochastic-rate option-pricing research by Jeon and Kim (2025). Overall, our results show that continuous stochastic volatility dominates near-term pricing dynamics, while stochastic interest rates materially influence valuations beyond one year.

Suggested Citation

  • Nunik Srikandi Putri & Ajay Kumar Verma & Neo Paul Lesupi, 2026. "Stochastic Volatility, Jumps, and Rates: A Unified Framework for Option Pricing and Term-Structure Simulation," Papers 2605.27945, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2605.27945
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jiwook Yoo, 2025. "Joint calibration of the volatility surface and variance term structure," Papers 2509.08096, arXiv.org.
    2. Kemna, A. G. Z. & Vorst, A. C. F., 1990. "A pricing method for options based on average asset values," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 113-129, March.
    3. Pan, Jun, 2002. "The jump-risk premia implicit in options: evidence from an integrated time-series study," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 3-50, January.
    4. Bates, David S, 1996. "Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Deutsche Mark Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(1), pages 69-107.
    5. Cox, John C. & Ingersoll Junior, Jonathan E. & Ross, Stephen A., 2007. "A theory of the term structure of interest rates," RAE - Revista de Administração de Empresas, FGV-EAESP Escola de Administração de Empresas de São Paulo (Brazil), vol. 47(2), April.
    6. Damiano Brigo & Fabio Mercurio, 2006. "Interest Rate Models — Theory and Practice," Springer Finance, Springer, edition 0, number 978-3-540-34604-3, March.
    7. Junkee Jeon & Geonwoo Kim, 2025. "Analytical Pricing Vulnerable Options with Stochastic Volatility in a Two-Factor Stochastic Interest Rate Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-15, August.
    8. Gaetano Agazzotti & Claudio Aglieri Rinella & Jean-Philippe Aguilar & Justin Lars Kirkby, 2025. "Calibration and Option Pricing with Stochastic Volatility and Double Exponential Jumps," Papers 2502.13824, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
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