IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2507.20957.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Your AI, Not Your View: The Bias of LLMs in Investment Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Hoyoung Lee
  • Junhyuk Seo
  • Suhwan Park
  • Junhyeong Lee
  • Wonbin Ahn
  • Chanyeol Choi
  • Alejandro Lopez-Lira
  • Yongjae Lee

Abstract

In finance, Large Language Models (LLMs) face frequent knowledge conflicts arising from discrepancies between their pre-trained parametric knowledge and real-time market data. These conflicts are especially problematic in real-world investment services, where a model's inherent biases can misalign with institutional objectives, leading to unreliable recommendations. Despite this risk, the intrinsic investment biases of LLMs remain underexplored. We propose an experimental framework to investigate emergent behaviors in such conflict scenarios, offering a quantitative analysis of bias in LLM-based investment analysis. Using hypothetical scenarios with balanced and imbalanced arguments, we extract the latent biases of models and measure their persistence. Our analysis, centered on sector, size, and momentum, reveals distinct, model-specific biases. Across most models, a tendency to prefer technology stocks, large-cap stocks, and contrarian strategies is observed. These foundational biases often escalate into confirmation bias, causing models to cling to initial judgments even when faced with increasing counter-evidence. A public leaderboard benchmarking bias across a broader set of models is available at https://linqalpha.com/leaderboard

Suggested Citation

  • Hoyoung Lee & Junhyuk Seo & Suhwan Park & Junhyeong Lee & Wonbin Ahn & Chanyeol Choi & Alejandro Lopez-Lira & Yongjae Lee, 2025. "Your AI, Not Your View: The Bias of LLMs in Investment Analysis," Papers 2507.20957, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2507.20957
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2507.20957
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kei Nakagawa & Masanori Hirano & Yugo Fujimoto, 2024. "Evaluating Company-specific Biases in Financial Sentiment Analysis using Large Language Models," Papers 2411.00420, arXiv.org.
    2. Wentao Zhang & Lingxuan Zhao & Haochong Xia & Shuo Sun & Jiaze Sun & Molei Qin & Xinyi Li & Yuqing Zhao & Yilei Zhao & Xinyu Cai & Longtao Zheng & Xinrun Wang & Bo An, 2024. "A Multimodal Foundation Agent for Financial Trading: Tool-Augmented, Diversified, and Generalist," Papers 2402.18485, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    3. Youngbin Lee & Yejin Kim & Juhyeong Kim & Suin Kim & Yongjae Lee, 2025. "LLM-Enhanced Black-Litterman Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2504.14345, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
    4. Yoontae Hwang & Yaxuan Kong & Stefan Zohren & Yongjae Lee, 2025. "Decision-informed Neural Networks with Large Language Model Integration for Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2502.00828, arXiv.org.
    5. Yichen Luo & Yebo Feng & Jiahua Xu & Paolo Tasca & Yang Liu, 2025. "LLM-Powered Multi-Agent System for Automated Crypto Portfolio Management," Papers 2501.00826, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2025.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Seung Jung Lee & Anne Lundgaard Hansen, 2025. "Financial Stability Implications of Generative AI: Taming the Animal Spirits," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-090, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Anne Lundgaard Hansen & Seung Jung Lee, 2025. "Financial Stability Implications of Generative AI: Taming the Animal Spirits," Papers 2510.01451, arXiv.org.
    3. Fabrizio Dimino & Krati Saxena & Bhaskarjit Sarmah & Stefano Pasquali, 2025. "Uncovering Representation Bias for Investment Decisions in Open-Source Large Language Models," Papers 2510.05702, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yijia Xiao & Edward Sun & Tong Chen & Fang Wu & Di Luo & Wei Wang, 2025. "Trading-R1: Financial Trading with LLM Reasoning via Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2509.11420, arXiv.org.
    2. Yoontae Hwang & Stefan Zohren, 2025. "Signature-Informed Transformer for Asset Allocation," Papers 2510.03129, arXiv.org.
    3. Aadi Singhi, 2025. "An Adaptive Multi Agent Bitcoin Trading System," Papers 2510.08068, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    4. Yaxuan Kong & Yoontae Hwang & Marcus Kaiser & Chris Vryonides & Roel Oomen & Stefan Zohren, 2025. "Fusing Narrative Semantics for Financial Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2510.20699, arXiv.org.
    5. Xinyu Wei & Luojia Liu, 2025. "Are Large Language Models Good In-context Learners for Financial Sentiment Analysis?," Papers 2503.04873, arXiv.org.
    6. Zhizhuo Kou & Holam Yu & Junyu Luo & Jingshu Peng & Xujia Li & Chengzhong Liu & Juntao Dai & Lei Chen & Sirui Han & Yike Guo, 2024. "Automate Strategy Finding with LLM in Quant Investment," Papers 2409.06289, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    7. Youngbin Lee & Yejin Kim & Juhyeong Kim & Suin Kim & Yongjae Lee, 2025. "LLM-Enhanced Black-Litterman Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2504.14345, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
    8. Srivastava, Varad, 2025. "EAGLE: A Multi-Agent Generative AI System for Personalized Banking Recommendation and Risk-Aware Financial Planning," OSF Preprints dwspv_v1, Center for Open Science.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2507.20957. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.