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Cross-Modal Temporal Fusion for Financial Market Forecasting

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Listed:
  • Yunhua Pei
  • John Cartlidge
  • Anandadeep Mandal
  • Daniel Gold
  • Enrique Marcilio
  • Riccardo Mazzon

Abstract

Accurate financial market forecasting requires diverse data sources, including historical price trends, macroeconomic indicators, and financial news, each contributing unique predictive signals. However, existing methods often process these modalities independently or fail to effectively model their interactions. In this paper, we introduce Cross-Modal Temporal Fusion (CMTF), a novel transformer-based framework that integrates heterogeneous financial data to improve predictive accuracy. Our approach employs attention mechanisms to dynamically weight the contribution of different modalities, along with a specialized tensor interpretation module for feature extraction. To facilitate rapid model iteration in industry applications, we incorporate a mature auto-training scheme that streamlines optimization. When applied to real-world financial datasets, CMTF demonstrates improvements over baseline models in forecasting stock price movements and provides a scalable and effective solution for cross-modal integration in financial market prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Yunhua Pei & John Cartlidge & Anandadeep Mandal & Daniel Gold & Enrique Marcilio & Riccardo Mazzon, 2025. "Cross-Modal Temporal Fusion for Financial Market Forecasting," Papers 2504.13522, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2504.13522
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13522
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Olamilekan Shobayo & Sidikat Adeyemi-Longe & Olusogo Popoola & Bayode Ogunleye, 2024. "Innovative Sentiment Analysis and Prediction of Stock Price Using FinBERT, GPT-4 and Logistic Regression: A Data-Driven Approach," Papers 2412.06837, arXiv.org.
    2. Ser-Huang Poon & Clive W.J. Granger, 2003. "Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 41(2), pages 478-539, June.
    3. Jaideep Singh & Matloob Khushi, 2021. "Feature Learning for Stock Price Prediction Shows a Significant Role of Analyst Rating," Papers 2103.09106, arXiv.org.
    4. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    5. Lim, Bryan & Arık, Sercan Ö. & Loeff, Nicolas & Pfister, Tomas, 2021. "Temporal Fusion Transformers for interpretable multi-horizon time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1748-1764.
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