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Quantifying firm-level risks from nature deterioration

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  • Ricardo Crisostomo

Abstract

We estimate the loss of value that companies might suffer from nature overexploitation. We find that global equities shed 26.8% in a scenario of unabated nature decline, while the worst-performing firms lose ~75% of their value. Our risk framework considers five environmental hazards: biodiversity loss, land degradation, climate change, human population and nature capital. We also introduce two metrics to assess nature-related risks: a Country Degradation Index that tracks the damage caused by environmental hazards in specific territories, including nonlinear dynamics and tipping points; and a Nature Risk Score that summarizes the risk that companies face due to the decline of nature and its services.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Crisostomo, 2025. "Quantifying firm-level risks from nature deterioration," Papers 2501.14391, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2501.14391
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Acheampong, Alex O. & Opoku, Eric Evans Osei, 2023. "Environmental degradation and economic growth: Investigating linkages and potential pathways," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • I30 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects

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