IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2311.06280.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A Data-driven Deep Learning Approach for Bitcoin Price Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Parth Daxesh Modi
  • Kamyar Arshi
  • Pertami J. Kunz
  • Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Abstract

Bitcoin as a cryptocurrency has been one of the most important digital coins and the first decentralized digital currency. Deep neural networks, on the other hand, has shown promising results recently; however, we require huge amount of high-quality data to leverage their power. There are some techniques such as augmentation that can help us with increasing the dataset size, but we cannot exploit them on historical bitcoin data. As a result, we propose a shallow Bidirectional-LSTM (Bi-LSTM) model, fed with feature engineered data using our proposed method to forecast bitcoin closing prices in a daily time frame. We compare the performance with that of other forecasting methods, and show that with the help of the proposed feature engineering method, a shallow deep neural network outperforms other popular price forecasting models.

Suggested Citation

  • Parth Daxesh Modi & Kamyar Arshi & Pertami J. Kunz & Abdelhak M. Zoubir, 2023. "A Data-driven Deep Learning Approach for Bitcoin Price Forecasting," Papers 2311.06280, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.06280
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.06280
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aniruddha Dutta & Saket Kumar & Meheli Basu, 2020. "A Gated Recurrent Unit Approach to Bitcoin Price Prediction," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-16, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tej Bahadur Shahi & Ashish Shrestha & Arjun Neupane & William Guo, 2020. "Stock Price Forecasting with Deep Learning: A Comparative Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-15, August.
    2. Pawan Kumar Singh & Alok Kumar Pandey & S. C. Bose, 2023. "A new grey system approach to forecast closing price of Bitcoin, Bionic, Cardano, Dogecoin, Ethereum, XRP Cryptocurrencies," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 2429-2446, June.
    3. Naseh Majidi & Mahdi Shamsi & Farokh Marvasti, 2022. "Algorithmic Trading Using Continuous Action Space Deep Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2210.03469, arXiv.org.
    4. Huang, Chiou-Jye & Shen, Yamin & Kuo, Ping-Huan & Chen, Yung-Hsiang, 2022. "Novel spatiotemporal feature extraction parallel deep neural network for forecasting confirmed cases of coronavirus disease 2019," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Yuze Li & Shangrong Jiang & Yunjie Wei & Shouyang Wang, 2021. "Take Bitcoin into your portfolio: a novel ensemble portfolio optimization framework for broad commodity assets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-26, December.
    6. Chuen Yik Kang & Chin Poo Lee & Kian Ming Lim, 2022. "Cryptocurrency Price Prediction with Convolutional Neural Network and Stacked Gated Recurrent Unit," Data, MDPI, vol. 7(11), pages 1-13, October.
    7. Zeyd Boukhers & Azeddine Bouabdallah & Matthias Lohr & Jan Jurjens, 2022. "Ensemble and Multimodal Approach for Forecasting Cryptocurrency Price," Papers 2202.08967, arXiv.org.
    8. Fan Fang & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Leslie Kanthan & David Martinez-Rego & Fan Wu & Lingbo Li, 2022. "Cryptocurrency trading: a comprehensive survey," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-59, December.
    9. Rico-Peña, Juan Jesús & Arguedas-Sanz, Raquel & López-Martin, Carmen, 2023. "Models used to characterise blockchain features. A systematic literature review and bibliometric analysis," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    10. Prosper Lamothe-Fernández & David Alaminos & Prosper Lamothe-López & Manuel A. Fernández-Gámez, 2020. "Deep Learning Methods for Modeling Bitcoin Price," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-13, July.
    11. Jujie Wang & Yinan Liao & Zhenzhen Zhuang & Dongming Gao, 2021. "An Optimal Weighted Combined Model Coupled with Feature Reconstruction and Deep Learning for Multivariate Stock Index Forecasting," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(21), pages 1-20, October.
    12. Pamir & Nadeem Javaid & Saher Javaid & Muhammad Asif & Muhammad Umar Javed & Adamu Sani Yahaya & Sheraz Aslam, 2022. "Synthetic Theft Attacks and Long Short Term Memory-Based Preprocessing for Electricity Theft Detection Using Gated Recurrent Unit," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-20, April.
    13. Shahriari, Zahra & Nazarimehr, Fahimeh & Rajagopal, Karthikeyan & Jafari, Sajad & Perc, Matjaž & Svetec, Milan, 2022. "Cryptocurrency price analysis with ordinal partition networks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 430(C).
    14. Gyana Ranjan Patra & Mihir Narayan Mohanty, 2023. "Price Prediction of Cryptocurrency Using a Multi-Layer Gated Recurrent Unit Network with Multi Features," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 1525-1544, December.
    15. Isabela Ruiz Roque da Silva & Eli Hadad Junior & Pedro Paulo Balbi, 2022. "Cryptocurrencies trading algorithms: A review," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1661-1668, December.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.06280. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.