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Stochastic Delay Differential Games: Financial Modeling and Machine Learning Algorithms

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  • Robert Balkin
  • Hector D. Ceniceros
  • Ruimeng Hu

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a numerical methodology for finding the closed-loop Nash equilibrium of stochastic delay differential games through deep learning. These games are prevalent in finance and economics where multi-agent interaction and delayed effects are often desired features in a model, but are introduced at the expense of increased dimensionality of the problem. This increased dimensionality is especially significant as that arising from the number of players is coupled with the potential infinite dimensionality caused by the delay. Our approach involves parameterizing the controls of each player using distinct recurrent neural networks. These recurrent neural network-based controls are then trained using a modified version of Brown's fictitious play, incorporating deep learning techniques. To evaluate the effectiveness of our methodology, we test it on finance-related problems with known solutions. Furthermore, we also develop new problems and derive their analytical Nash equilibrium solutions, which serve as additional benchmarks for assessing the performance of our proposed deep learning approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Balkin & Hector D. Ceniceros & Ruimeng Hu, 2023. "Stochastic Delay Differential Games: Financial Modeling and Machine Learning Algorithms," Papers 2307.06450, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2307.06450
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jiequn Han & Ruimeng Hu & Jihao Long, 2020. "Convergence of Deep Fictitious Play for Stochastic Differential Games," Papers 2008.05519, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    2. Daniel Lacker & Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 2019. "Mean field and n‐agent games for optimal investment under relative performance criteria," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 1003-1038, October.
    3. Daniel Lacker & Agathe Soret, 2019. "Many-player games of optimal consumption and investment under relative performance criteria," Papers 1905.11782, arXiv.org.
    4. René Carmona & Jean-Pierre Fouque & Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi & Li-Hsien Sun, 2018. "Systemic Risk and Stochastic Games with Delay," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 179(2), pages 366-399, November.
    5. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
    6. Giorgio Fabbri & Fausto Gozzi & Andrzej Swiech, 2017. "Stochastic Optimal Control in Infinite Dimensions - Dynamic Programming and HJB Equations," Post-Print hal-01505767, HAL.
    7. Jiequn Han & Ruimeng Hu, 2021. "Recurrent Neural Networks for Stochastic Control Problems with Delay," Papers 2101.01385, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2021.
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