IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2301.13235.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Joint calibration to SPX and VIX options with signature-based models

Author

Listed:
  • Christa Cuchiero
  • Guido Gazzani
  • Janka Moller
  • Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Abstract

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are described by linear functions of the (time extended) signature of a primary underlying process, which is supposed to be some multidimensional continuous semimartingale. Under the additional assumption that this primary process is of polynomial type, we obtain closed form expressions for the VIX squared, exploiting the fact that the truncated signature of a polynomial process is again a polynomial process. Adding to such a primary process the Brownian motion driving the stock price, allows then to express both the log-price and the VIX squared as linear functions of the signature of the corresponding augmented process. This feature can then be efficiently used for pricing and calibration purposes. Indeed, as the signature samples can be easily precomputed, the calibration task can be split into an offline sampling and a standard optimization. For both the SPX and VIX options we obtain highly accurate calibration results, showing that this model class allows to solve the joint calibration problem without adding jumps or rough volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Christa Cuchiero & Guido Gazzani & Janka Moller & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2023. "Joint calibration to SPX and VIX options with signature-based models," Papers 2301.13235, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2301.13235
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.13235
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christian Bayer & Blanka Horvath & Aitor Muguruza & Benjamin Stemper & Mehdi Tomas, 2019. "On deep calibration of (rough) stochastic volatility models," Papers 1908.08806, arXiv.org.
    2. Thomas Kokholm & Martin Stisen, 2015. "Joint pricing of VIX and SPX options with stochastic volatility and jump models," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 16(1), pages 27-48, January.
    3. Erdinc Akyildirim & Matteo Gambara & Josef Teichmann & Syang Zhou, 2022. "Applications of Signature Methods to Market Anomaly Detection," Papers 2201.02441, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    4. Stein, Elias M & Stein, Jeremy C, 1991. "Stock Price Distributions with Stochastic Volatility: An Analytic Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(4), pages 727-752.
    5. Jan Baldeaux & Alexander Badran, 2014. "Consistent Modelling of VIX and Equity Derivatives Using a 3/2 plus Jumps Model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 299-312, September.
    6. Christa Cuchiero & Wahid Khosrawi & Josef Teichmann, 2020. "A generative adversarial network approach to calibration of local stochastic volatility models," Papers 2005.02505, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    7. J.-P. Fouque & Y. F. Saporito, 2018. "Heston stochastic vol-of-vol model for joint calibration of VIX and S&P 500 options," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 1003-1016, June.
    8. Terry Lyons & Sina Nejad & Imanol Perez Arribas, 2020. "Non-parametric Pricing and Hedging of Exotic Derivatives," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(6), pages 457-494, November.
    9. Patryk Gierjatowicz & Marc Sabate-Vidales & David v{S}iv{s}ka & Lukasz Szpruch & v{Z}an v{Z}uriv{c}, 2020. "Robust pricing and hedging via neural SDEs," Papers 2007.04154, arXiv.org.
    10. Christa Cuchiero & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2021. "Infinite-dimensional polynomial processes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 383-426, April.
    11. Andrew Papanicolaou & Ronnie Sircar, 2014. "A regime-switching Heston model for VIX and S&P 500 implied volatilities," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(10), pages 1811-1827, October.
    12. Antoine Jacquier & Aitor Muguruza & Alexandre Pannier, 2021. "Rough multifactor volatility for SPX and VIX options," Papers 2112.14310, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    13. Jim Gatheral & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "The quadratic rough Heston model and the joint S&P 500/VIX smile calibration problem," Papers 2001.01789, arXiv.org.
    14. Hans Buhler & Blanka Horvath & Terry Lyons & Imanol Perez Arribas & Ben Wood, 2020. "A Data-driven Market Simulator for Small Data Environments," Papers 2006.14498, arXiv.org.
    15. Christa Cuchiero & Francesca Primavera & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2022. "Universal approximation theorems for continuous functions of c\`adl\`ag paths and L\'evy-type signature models," Papers 2208.02293, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    16. Pierre Henry-Labordere, 2019. "From (Martingale) Schrodinger bridges to a new class of Stochastic Volatility Models," Papers 1904.04554, arXiv.org.
    17. Kardaras, Constantinos & Kreher, Dörte & Nikeghbali, Ashkan, 2015. "Strict local martingales and bubbles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64967, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Christa Cuchiero & Josef Teichmann, 2019. "Markovian lifts of positive semidefinite affine Volterra-type processes," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 407-448, December.
    19. Ivan Guo & Gregoire Loeper & Jan Obloj & Shiyi Wang, 2021. "Optimal transport for model calibration," Papers 2107.01978, arXiv.org.
    20. Christa Cuchiero & Wahid Khosrawi & Josef Teichmann, 2020. "A Generative Adversarial Network Approach to Calibration of Local Stochastic Volatility Models," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-31, September.
    21. Henrique Guerreiro & Jo~ao Guerra, 2022. "VIX pricing in the rBergomi model under a regime switching change of measure," Papers 2201.10391, arXiv.org.
    22. Christa Cuchiero & Josef Teichmann, 2019. "Markovian lifts of positive semidefinite affine Volterra type processes," Papers 1907.01917, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.
    23. Imanol Perez Arribas & Cristopher Salvi & Lukasz Szpruch, 2020. "Sig-SDEs model for quantitative finance," Papers 2006.00218, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    24. Hongkai Cao & Alexandru Badescu & Zhenyu Cui & Sarath Kumar Jayaraman, 2020. "Valuation of VIX and target volatility options with affine GARCH models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(12), pages 1880-1917, December.
    25. Damir Filipović & Martin Larsson, 2016. "Polynomial diffusions and applications in finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 931-972, October.
    26. Christian Bayer & Paul Hager & Sebastian Riedel & John Schoenmakers, 2021. "Optimal stopping with signatures," Papers 2105.00778, arXiv.org.
    27. Lech A. Grzelak, 2022. "On Randomization of Affine Diffusion Processes with Application to Pricing of Options on VIX and S&P 500," Papers 2208.12518, arXiv.org.
    28. Pacati, Claudio & Pompa, Gabriele & Renò, Roberto, 2018. "Smiling twice: The Heston++ model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 185-206.
    29. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    30. Bruno Dupire & Valentin Tissot-Daguette, 2022. "Functional Expansions," Papers 2212.13628, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    31. Christa Cuchiero & Martin Keller-Ressel & Josef Teichmann, 2012. "Polynomial processes and their applications to mathematical finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 711-740, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alexandre Pannier, 2023. "Path-dependent PDEs for volatility derivatives," Papers 2311.08289, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christa Cuchiero & Guido Gazzani & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2022. "Signature-based models: theory and calibration," Papers 2207.13136, arXiv.org.
    2. Christa Cuchiero & Philipp Schmocker & Josef Teichmann, 2023. "Global universal approximation of functional input maps on weighted spaces," Papers 2306.03303, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Christa Cuchiero & Sara Svaluto-Ferro & Josef Teichmann, 2023. "Signature SDEs from an affine and polynomial perspective," Papers 2302.01362, arXiv.org.
    4. Nelson Vadori, 2022. "Calibration of Derivative Pricing Models: a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Perspective," Papers 2203.06865, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    5. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun & Li, 2022. "Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints," Papers 2212.08297, arXiv.org.
    6. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun Xiaoyuan Li, 2022. "Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints," Working Papers hal-03902513, HAL.
    7. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun & Li, 2022. "The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles," Papers 2212.10917, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    8. Giulia Di Nunno & Kk{e}stutis Kubilius & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2023. "From constant to rough: A survey of continuous volatility modeling," Papers 2309.01033, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    9. Christa Cuchiero & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2021. "Infinite-dimensional polynomial processes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 383-426, April.
    10. Antoine Jacquier & Aitor Muguruza & Alexandre Pannier, 2021. "Rough multifactor volatility for SPX and VIX options," Papers 2112.14310, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    11. Julien Guyon, 2020. "Inversion of convex ordering in the VIX market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(10), pages 1597-1623, October.
    12. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun Xiaoyuan Li, 2023. "The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles," Working Papers hal-03909334, HAL.
    13. Christa Cuchiero & Francesca Primavera & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2022. "Universal approximation theorems for continuous functions of c\`adl\`ag paths and L\'evy-type signature models," Papers 2208.02293, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    14. Ivan Guo & Gregoire Loeper & Jan Obloj & Shiyi Wang, 2020. "Joint Modelling and Calibration of SPX and VIX by Optimal Transport," Papers 2004.02198, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    15. Sebastian Jaimungal, 2022. "Reinforcement learning and stochastic optimisation," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 103-129, January.
    16. Christa Cuchiero & Luca Di Persio & Francesco Guida & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2022. "Measure-valued processes for energy markets," Papers 2210.09331, arXiv.org.
    17. Christa Cuchiero & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2019. "Infinite dimensional polynomial processes," Papers 1911.02614, arXiv.org.
    18. Andrew Papanicolaou, 2022. "Consistent time‐homogeneous modeling of SPX and VIX derivatives," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 907-940, July.
    19. Jim Gatheral & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "The quadratic rough Heston model and the joint S&P 500/VIX smile calibration problem," Papers 2001.01789, arXiv.org.
    20. Christa Cuchiero & Tonio Mollmann & Josef Teichmann, 2023. "Ramifications of generalized Feller theory," Papers 2308.03858, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2301.13235. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.