IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2211.12356.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Early Warning Signals for Cryptocurrency Market States

Author

Listed:
  • Vishwas Kukreti

Abstract

Being archetypal complex systems, financial markets exhibit rich set of dynamics in their interactions. In this paper, we focus on the recently evolved cryptocurrency market as an example of a complex system and analyse the evolution of cross correlation structure of cryptocurrencies in the 5 year period from 2017 to 2022. We observe characteristic correlation structures in the observation time window duration and use these specific structures to cluster the cryptocurrency market in 4 market states.

Suggested Citation

  • Vishwas Kukreti, 2022. "Early Warning Signals for Cryptocurrency Market States," Papers 2211.12356, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2211.12356
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2211.12356
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R. Mantegna, 1999. "Hierarchical structure in financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 11(1), pages 193-197, September.
    2. Michael C. Munnix & Takashi Shimada & Rudi Schafer & Francois Leyvraz Thomas H. Seligman & Thomas Guhr & H. E. Stanley, 2012. "Identifying States of a Financial Market," Papers 1202.1623, arXiv.org.
    3. Hirdesh K. Pharasi & Kiran Sharma & Rakesh Chatterjee & Anirban Chakraborti & Francois Leyvraz & Thomas H. Seligman, 2018. "Identifying long-term precursors of financial market crashes using correlation patterns," Papers 1809.00885, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2018.
    4. Ester Pantaleo & Michele Tumminello & Fabrizio Lillo & Rosario Mantegna, 2011. "When do improved covariance matrix estimators enhance portfolio optimization? An empirical comparative study of nine estimators," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 1067-1080.
    5. Sandoval, Leonidas & Franca, Italo De Paula, 2012. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(1), pages 187-208.
    6. Abeer ElBahrawy & Laura Alessandretti & Anne Kandler & Romualdo Pastor-Satorras & Andrea Baronchelli, 2017. "Evolutionary dynamics of the cryptocurrency market," Papers 1705.05334, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. López Pérez, Mario & Mansilla Corona, Ricardo, 2022. "Ordinal synchronization and typical states in high-frequency digital markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 598(C).
    2. Anna Maria D’Arcangelis & Giulia Rotundo, 2016. "Complex Networks in Finance," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Pasquale Commendatore & Mariano Matilla-García & Luis M. Varela & Jose S. Cánovas (ed.), Complex Networks and Dynamics, pages 209-235, Springer.
    3. M. Mija'il Mart'inez-Ramos & Parisa Majari & Andres R. Cruz-Hern'andez & Hirdesh K. Pharasi & Manan Vyas, 2024. "Coarse graining correlation matrices according to macrostructures: Financial markets as a paradigm," Papers 2402.05364, arXiv.org.
    4. Mario L'opez P'erez & Ricardo Mansilla, 2021. "Ordinal Synchronization and Typical States in High-Frequency Digital Markets," Papers 2110.07047, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    5. Sebastiano Michele Zema & Giorgio Fagiolo & Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli, 2021. "Mesoscopic Structure of the Stock Market and Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2112.06544, arXiv.org.
    6. Djauhari, Maman Abdurachman & Gan, Siew Lee, 2015. "Optimality problem of network topology in stocks market analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 108-114.
    7. Sandoval, Leonidas, 2014. "To lag or not to lag? How to compare indices of stock markets that operate on different times," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 227-243.
    8. Kanjamapornkul, K. & Pinčák, Richard & Bartoš, Erik, 2016. "The study of Thai stock market across the 2008 financial crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 117-133.
    9. Teh, Boon Kin & Goo, Yik Wen & Lian, Tong Wei & Ong, Wei Guang & Choi, Wen Ting & Damodaran, Mridula & Cheong, Siew Ann, 2015. "The Chinese Correction of February 2007: How financial hierarchies change in a market crash," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 424(C), pages 225-241.
    10. Andreas Muhlbacher & Thomas Guhr, 2018. "Credit Risk Meets Random Matrices: Coping with Non-Stationary Asset Correlations," Papers 1803.00261, arXiv.org.
    11. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Philippe Donnat & S'ebastien Andler, 2016. "On clustering financial time series: a need for distances between dependent random variables," Papers 1603.07822, arXiv.org.
    12. Li, Da-Ye & Nishimura, Yusaku & Men, Ming, 2014. "Fractal markets: Liquidity and investors on different time horizons," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 407(C), pages 144-151.
    13. Irena Vodenska & Alexander P. Becker & Di Zhou & Dror Y. Kenett & H. Eugene Stanley & Shlomo Havlin, 2016. "Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-15, May.
    14. Matthias Raddant & Friedrich Wagner, 2017. "Transitions in the stock markets of the US, UK and Germany," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 289-297, February.
    15. Nie, Chun-Xiao, 2020. "Correlation dynamics in the cryptocurrency market based on dimensionality reduction analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 554(C).
    16. Vishwas Kukreti & Hirdesh K. Pharasi & Priya Gupta & Sunil Kumar, 2020. "A perspective on correlation-based financial networks and entropy measures," Papers 2004.09448, arXiv.org.
    17. Caraiani, Petre, 2017. "The predictive power of local properties of financial networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 466(C), pages 79-90.
    18. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Cerchiello, Paola & Scaramozzino, Roberta, 2022. "Network based evidence of the financial impact of Covid-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    19. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    20. Výrost, Tomas & Lyócsa, Štefan & Baumöhl, Eduard, 2019. "Network-based asset allocation strategies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 516-536.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2211.12356. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.