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A Word is Worth A Thousand Dollars: Adversarial Attack on Tweets Fools Stock Predictions

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Listed:
  • Yong Xie
  • Dakuo Wang
  • Pin-Yu Chen
  • Jinjun Xiong
  • Sijia Liu
  • Sanmi Koyejo

Abstract

More and more investors and machine learning models rely on social media (e.g., Twitter and Reddit) to gather real-time information and sentiment to predict stock price movements. Although text-based models are known to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks, whether stock prediction models have similar vulnerability is underexplored. In this paper, we experiment with a variety of adversarial attack configurations to fool three stock prediction victim models. We address the task of adversarial generation by solving combinatorial optimization problems with semantics and budget constraints. Our results show that the proposed attack method can achieve consistent success rates and cause significant monetary loss in trading simulation by simply concatenating a perturbed but semantically similar tweet.

Suggested Citation

  • Yong Xie & Dakuo Wang & Pin-Yu Chen & Jinjun Xiong & Sijia Liu & Sanmi Koyejo, 2022. "A Word is Worth A Thousand Dollars: Adversarial Attack on Tweets Fools Stock Predictions," Papers 2205.01094, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2205.01094
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fuli Feng & Xiangnan He & Xiang Wang & Cheng Luo & Yiqun Liu & Tat-Seng Chua, 2018. "Temporal Relational Ranking for Stock Prediction," Papers 1809.09441, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2019.
    2. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:3:p:1259-1294 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. J. Anthony Cookson & Marina Niessner, 2020. "Why Don't We Agree? Evidence from a Social Network of Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(1), pages 173-228, February.
    4. Pekka Malo & Ankur Sinha & Pekka Korhonen & Jyrki Wallenius & Pyry Takala, 2014. "Good debt or bad debt: Detecting semantic orientations in economic texts," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 65(4), pages 782-796, April.
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