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Fragile, yet resilient: Adaptive decline in a collaboration network of firms

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  • Frank Schweitzer
  • Giona Casiraghi
  • Mario V. Tomasello
  • David Garcia

Abstract

The dynamics of collaboration networks of firms follow a life-cycle of growth and decline. That does not imply they also become less resilient. Instead, declining collaboration networks may still have the ability to mitigate shocks from firms leaving, and to recover from these losses by adapting to new partners. To demonstrate this, we analyze 21.500 R\&D collaborations of 14.500 firms in six different industrial sectors over 25 years. We calculate time-dependent probabilities of firms leaving the network and simulate drop-out cascades, to determine the expected dynamics of decline. We then show that deviations from these expectations result from the adaptivity of the network, which mitigates the decline. These deviations can be used as a measure of network resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank Schweitzer & Giona Casiraghi & Mario V. Tomasello & David Garcia, 2020. "Fragile, yet resilient: Adaptive decline in a collaboration network of firms," Papers 2011.13369, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.13369
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Frank Schweitzer & Giorgio Fagiolo & Didier Sornette & Fernando Vega-Redondo & Douglas R. White, 2009. "Economic Networks: What Do We Know And What Do We Need To Know?," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04n05), pages 407-422.
    2. J. Lorenz & S. Battiston & F. Schweitzer, 2009. "Systemic risk in a unifying framework for cascading processes on networks," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 71(4), pages 441-460, October.
    3. Ranjay Gulati & Maxim Sytch & Adam Tatarynowicz, 2012. "The Rise and Fall of Small Worlds: Exploring the Dynamics of Social Structure," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 23(2), pages 449-471, April.
    4. Giacomo Vaccario & Mario V. Tomasello & Claudio J. Tessone & Frank Schweitzer, 2018. "Quantifying knowledge exchange in R&D networks: a data-driven model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 461-493, August.
    5. Yan Zhang & Antonios Garas & Frank Schweitzer, 2019. "Control Contribution Identifies Top Driver Nodes In Complex Networks," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(07n08), pages 1-15, December.
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