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No-arbitrage bounds for the forward smile given marginals

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  • Sergey Badikov
  • Antoine Jacquier
  • Daphne Qing Liu
  • Patrick Roome

Abstract

We explore the robust replication of forward-start straddles given quoted (Call and Put options) market data. One approach to this problem classically follows semi-infinite linear programming arguments, and we propose a discretisation scheme to reduce its dimensionality and hence its complexity. Alternatively, one can consider the dual problem, consisting in finding optimal martingale measures under which the upper and the lower bounds are attained. Semi-analytical solutions to this dual problem were proposed by Hobson and Klimmek (2013) and by Hobson and Neuberger (2008). We recast this dual approach as a finite dimensional linear programme, and reconcile numerically, in the Black-Scholes and in the Heston model, the two approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergey Badikov & Antoine Jacquier & Daphne Qing Liu & Patrick Roome, 2016. "No-arbitrage bounds for the forward smile given marginals," Papers 1603.06389, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1603.06389
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David G. Hobson, 1998. "Robust hedging of the lookback option," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 2(4), pages 329-347.
    2. David Hobson & Martin Klimmek, 2015. "Robust price bounds for the forward starting straddle," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 189-214, January.
    3. Mathias Beiglbock & Pierre Henry-Labord`ere & Friedrich Penkner, 2011. "Model-independent Bounds for Option Prices: A Mass Transport Approach," Papers 1106.5929, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2013.
    4. Tanaka, Ken’ichiro & Toda, Alexis Akira, 2013. "Discrete approximations of continuous distributions by maximum entropy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(3), pages 445-450.
    5. Mark H. A. Davis & David G. Hobson, 2007. "The Range Of Traded Option Prices," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 1-14, January.
    6. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    7. David G. Luenberger & Yinyu Ye, 2008. "Linear and Nonlinear Programming," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, edition 0, number 978-0-387-74503-9, June.
    8. Mathias Beiglböck & Pierre Henry-Labordère & Friedrich Penkner, 2013. "Model-independent bounds for option prices—a mass transport approach," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 477-501, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cox, Alexander M.G. & Kinsley, Sam M., 2019. "Discretisation and duality of optimal Skorokhod embedding problems," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(7), pages 2376-2405.

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