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Non-Arbitrage up to Random Horizon for Semimartingale Models


  • Anna Aksamit
  • Tahir Choulli
  • Jun Deng
  • Monique Jeanblanc


This paper addresses the question of how an arbitrage-free semimartingale model is affected when stopped at a random horizon. We focus on No-Unbounded-Profit-with-Bounded-Risk (called NUPBR hereafter) concept, which is also known in the literature as the first kind of non-arbitrage. For this non-arbitrage notion, we obtain two principal results. The first result lies in describing the pairs of market model and random time for which the resulting stopped model fulfills NUPBR condition. The second main result characterises the random time models that preserve the NUPBR property after stopping for any market model. These results are elaborated in a very general market model, and we also pay attention to some particular and practical models. The analysis that drives these results is based on new stochastic developments in semimartingale theory with progressive enlargement. Furthermore, we construct explicit martingale densities (deflators) for some classes of local martingales when stopped at random time.

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  • Anna Aksamit & Tahir Choulli & Jun Deng & Monique Jeanblanc, 2013. "Non-Arbitrage up to Random Horizon for Semimartingale Models," Papers 1310.1142,, revised Feb 2014.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1310.1142

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Tahir Choulli & Christophe Stricker & Jia Li, 2007. "Minimal Hellinger martingale measures of order q," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 399-427, July.
    3. Ashkan Nikeghbali & Eckhard Platen, 2013. "A reading guide for last passage times with financial applications in view," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 615-640, July.
    4. Harrison, J. Michael & Kreps, David M., 1979. "Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 381-408, June.
    5. Freddy Delbaen & Walter Schachermayer, 1998. "A Simple Counterexample to Several Problems in the Theory of Asset Pricing," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(1), pages 1-11.
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    Cited by:

    1. Acciaio, Beatrice & Fontana, Claudio & Kardaras, Constantinos, 2016. "Arbitrage of the first kind and filtration enlargements in semimartingale financial models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(6), pages 1761-1784.
    2. Acciaio, Beatrice & Fontana, Claudio & Kardaras, Constantinos, 2016. "Arbitrage of the first kind and filtration enlargements in semimartingale financial models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65150, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Tahir Choulli & Catherine Daveloose & Mich`ele Vanmaele, 2015. "A martingale representation and risk's decomposition with applications: Mortality/longevity risk and securitization," Papers 1510.05858,, revised Jun 2017.
    4. Anna Aksamit & Tahir Choulli & Jun Deng & Monique Jeanblanc, 2015. "Non-Arbitrage Under Additional Information for Thin Semimartingale Models," Papers 1505.00997,
    5. Kreher, Dörte, 2017. "Change of measure up to a random time: Details," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(5), pages 1565-1598.

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