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Hedging Pure Endowments with Mortality Derivatives

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  • Ting Wang
  • Virginia R. Young

Abstract

In recent years, a market for mortality derivatives began developing as a way to handle systematic mortality risk, which is inherent in life insurance and annuity contracts. Systematic mortality risk is due to the uncertain development of future mortality intensities, or {\it hazard rates}. In this paper, we develop a theory for pricing pure endowments when hedging with a mortality forward is allowed. The hazard rate associated with the pure endowment and the reference hazard rate for the mortality forward are correlated and are modeled by diffusion processes. We price the pure endowment by assuming that the issuing company hedges its contract with the mortality forward and requires compensation for the unhedgeable part of the mortality risk in the form of a pre-specified instantaneous Sharpe ratio. The major result of this paper is that the value per contract solves a linear partial differential equation as the number of contracts approaches infinity. One can represent the limiting price as an expectation under an equivalent martingale measure. Another important result is that hedging with the mortality forward may raise or lower the price of this pure endowment comparing to its price without hedging, as determined in Bayraktar et al. [2009]. The market price of the reference mortality risk and the correlation between the two portfolios jointly determine the cost of hedging. We demonstrate our results using numerical examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Ting Wang & Virginia R. Young, 2010. "Hedging Pure Endowments with Mortality Derivatives," Papers 1011.0248, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1011.0248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. M. A. Milevsky & S. D. Promislow & V. R. Young, 2006. "Killing the Law of Large Numbers: Mortality Risk Premiums and the Sharpe Ratio," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 73(4), pages 673-686, December.
    2. Bayraktar, Erhan & Young, Virginia R., 2007. "Hedging life insurance with pure endowments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 435-444, May.
    3. Samuel Cox & Yijia Lin, 2007. "Natural Hedging of Life and Annuity Mortality Risks," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15.
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    6. Erhan Bayraktar & Virginia Young, 2008. "Pricing options in incomplete equity markets via the instantaneous Sharpe ratio," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 399-429, October.
    7. Bayraktar, Erhan & Milevsky, Moshe A. & David Promislow, S. & Young, Virginia R., 2009. "Valuation of mortality risk via the instantaneous Sharpe ratio: Applications to life annuities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 676-691, March.
    8. Andrew J. G. Cairns & David Blake & Kevin Dowd, 2006. "A Two‐Factor Model for Stochastic Mortality with Parameter Uncertainty: Theory and Calibration," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 73(4), pages 687-718, December.
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