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Can the Global Forest Sector Survive 11°C Warming?

Author

Listed:
  • Alice Favero
  • Robert Mendelsohn
  • Brent Sohngen

Abstract

It is well known that the forestry sector is sensitive to climate change but most studies have examined impacts only through 2100 and warming of less than 4°C. This is the first timber analysis to consider possible climate change impacts out to 2250 and warming up to 11°C above 1900 levels. The results suggest that large productivity gains through 2190 lead to a continued expansion of the global timber supply. However, as carbon fertilization effects diminish and continued warming causes forestland to continue to shrink, warming above 8°C is predicted to become harmful to the forest sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Alice Favero & Robert Mendelsohn & Brent Sohngen, 2017. "Can the Global Forest Sector Survive 11°C Warming?," EIA: Climate Change: Economic Impacts and Adaptation 263162, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:feemei:263162
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.263162
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    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy;

    JEL classification:

    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry

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