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Structural change of European dairy farms - A cross-regional analysis

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  • Zimmermann, Andrea
  • Heckelei, Thomas

Abstract

Previous analyses of dairy farm structural change focused on the variation over time in one or a small number of regions. Here we present an EU-15-wide analysis of the change of the number of farms in different size classes. The purpose is (1) to identify the differences in regional development patterns and (2) to measure the explanatory relevance and effect of key factors suggested in the literature. Apart from the unprecedented scope, the underlying Markov chain analysis also contributes by combining observed transitions in micro data with macro data on farm numbers. Results show widely significant impacts of most explanatory variables, but also reveal the complexity of the underlying processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Zimmermann, Andrea & Heckelei, Thomas, 2010. "Structural change of European dairy farms - A cross-regional analysis," 114th Seminar, April 15-16, 2010, Berlin, Germany 61090, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa114:61090
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    1. repec:eee:ecomod:v:273:y:2014:i:c:p:284-298 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Hugo Storm & Thomas Heckelei & Ron C. Mittelhammer, 2016. "Bayesian estimation of non-stationary Markov models combining micro and macro data," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 303-329.
    3. Saint-Cyr, Legrand D. F., 2016. "Farm segmentation and agricultural policy impacts on structural change: evidence from France," 149th Seminar, October 27-28, 2016, Rennes, France 244789, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Viaggi, Davide & Raggi, Meri & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio, 2011. "Farm-household investment behaviour and the CAP decoupling: Methodological issues in assessing policy impacts," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 127-145, January.
    5. Boere, Esther & Peerlings, Jack & Reinhard, Stijn & Heijman, Wim, 2014. "The dynamics of dairy land use change with respect to the milk quota regime," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182710, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Storm, Hugo & Heckelei, Thomas, 2015. "Local and regional spatial interactions in the analysis of Norwegian farm growth," 150th Seminar, October 22-23, 2015, Edinburgh, Scotland 212648, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. repec:bla:jorssc:v:66:y:2017:i:4:p:777-795 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Saint-Cyr, Legrand D. F. & Piet, Laurent, 2014. "Movers and Stayers in the Farming Sector: Another Look at Heterogeneity in Structural Change," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 183068, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Kersting, Stefan & Hüttel, Silke & Odening, Martin, 2016. "Industry dynamics under production constraints — The case of the EU dairy sector," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 135-151.
    10. Storm, Hugo & Heckelei, Thomas, 2016. "Using Multiple Neighboring Interaction Effects In Spatial Regression Specifications To Reduce Omitted Variable Bias," 56th Annual Conference, Bonn, Germany, September 28-30, 2016 244763, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
    11. Alexander Gocht & Norbert Röder & Sebastian Neuenfeldt & Hugo Storm & Thomas Heckelei, 2012. "Modelling farm structural change: A feasibility study for ex-post modelling utilizing FADN and FSS data in Germany and developing an ex-ante forecast module for the CAPRI farm type layer baseline," JRC Working Papers JRC75524, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    12. Mosnier, Claire & Wieck, Christine, 2010. "Determinants of spatial dynamics of dairy production: a review," Discussion Papers 162896, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    13. Saint-Cyr, Legrand D. F., 2016. "Accounting for farm heterogeneity in the assessment of agricultural policy impacts on structural change," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts 235778, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Storm, Hugo & Heckelei, Thomas, 2016. "Local and regional spatial interactions of Norwegian farm growth," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts 235576, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Legrand D. F. Saint-Cyr & Laurent Piet, 2017. "Movers and stayers in the farming sector: accounting for unobserved heterogeneity in structural change," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 777-795, August.
    16. Pieralli, Simone & Hüttel, Silke & Odening, Martin, 2014. "Abandonment of milk production under uncertainty and inefficiency: The case of West German farms," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170236, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Huber, Robert, 2016. "Towards a cost-benefit assessment of farm structural change in European mountain regions," 149th Seminar, October 27-28, 2016, Rennes, France 244785, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use;

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