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On the Relationship of Expected Supply and Demand to Futures Prices

  • Chua, Hans Walter
  • Tomek, William G.
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    Expectations about future economic conditions are important determinants of commodity prices. This paper presents a relatively simple model that makes futures prices for corn a function of expected production and inventories and of variables that account for demand shifts. The intent is to provide an historical, objective context for new price and quantity observations, which may help market analysts.

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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/121055
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    Paper provided by Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management in its series Staff Papers with number 121055.

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    Date of creation: 24 Feb 2012
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:cudasp:121055
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    1. Tomek, William G,, 1979. "Estimating Demand Relations Using Futures Prices," Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, issue 4.
    2. Mark, Darrell R. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B. & Small, Rebecca M., 2008. "Price Risk Management Alternatives for Farmers in the Absence of Forward Contracts with Grain Merchants," Choices, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(2).
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