IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/zbw/hiclch/209201.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Logistics Trends 2020: A National Delphi Study Concerning the German Logistics Sector

In: Next Generation Supply Chains: Trends and Opportunities. Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), Vol. 18

Author

Listed:
  • Zelewski, Stephan
  • Münchow-Küster, Alessa
  • Föhring, René

Abstract

The logistics sector is subject to profound changes that are caused by techno-logical innovations as well as by structural changes in the implementation of logistics business processes. Therefore, it is important for companies to recognize such changes in an early stage and to prepare for them strategically. This applies not only for directly concerned logistics service providing companies, but also for forwarders in general. Within a Delphi study, a team of the University Duisburg-Essen researched pioneering changes in the logistics sector and the underlying change driving forces. Over one hundred logistics experts from economy, science and politics have been systematically questioned about future logistics trends with the help of an online questionnaire. The survey stretched over four rounds in total with Delphi-typical quantitative and qualitative feedback for the participants. Altogether, about 500 hypothetical logistics trends - of organizational-conceptual as well as of technological kind - have been identified and evaluated regarding their economical relevance. At the end of the Delphi study, 10 organizational-conceptual and additional 10 technological essential logistics trends emerged. They were carefully examined in three dimensions: probability of occurrence, desirability of occurrence and impact on the logistics sector. The key results of this current Delphi study will be presented and commented from a business point of view. Action fields important for a strategic positioning of logistics companies in their future competitive environments will be illustrated in particular.

Suggested Citation

  • Zelewski, Stephan & Münchow-Küster, Alessa & Föhring, René, 2014. "Logistics Trends 2020: A National Delphi Study Concerning the German Logistics Sector," Chapters from the Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), in: Kersten, Wolfgang & Blecker, Thorsten & Ringle, Christian M. (ed.), Next Generation Supply Chains: Trends and Opportunities. Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), Vol. 18, volume 18, pages 69-85, Hamburg University of Technology (TUHH), Institute of Business Logistics and General Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:hiclch:209201
    DOI: 10.15480/882.1188
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/209201/1/hicl-2014-18-069.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.15480/882.1188?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nielsen, Christine & Thangadurai, Mohan, 2007. "Janus and the Delphi Oracle: Entering the new world of international business research," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 147-163, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Makkonen, Mari & Pätäri, Satu & Jantunen, Ari & Viljainen, Satu, 2012. "Competition in the European electricity markets – outcomes of a Delphi study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 431-440.
    2. Landeta, Jon & Barrutia, Jon, 2011. "People consultation to construct the future: A Delphi application," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 134-151.
    3. Winkler, Jens & Kuklinski, Christian Paul Jian-Wei & Moser, Roger, 2015. "Decision making in emerging markets: The Delphi approach's contribution to coping with uncertainty and equivocality," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(5), pages 1118-1126.
    4. Marcin Kozak & Olesia Iefremova, 2014. "Implementation Of The Delphi Technique In Finance," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 10(4), pages 36-45, May.
    5. Rezaei, Mojtaba & Jafari-Sadeghi, Vahid & Cao, Dongmei & Mahdiraji, Hannan Amoozad, 2021. "Key indicators of ethical challenges in digital healthcare: A combined Delphi exploration and confirmative factor analysis approach with evidence from Khorasan province in Iran," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    6. Landeta, Jon & Barrutia, Jon, 2011. "People consultation to construct the future: A Delphi application," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 134-151, January.
    7. Rengarajan, Srinath & Moser, Roger & Narayanamurthy, Gopalakrishnan, 2021. "Strategy tools in dynamic environments – An expert-panel study," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    8. Peter J Buckley & Jonathan P Doh & Mirko H Benischke, 2017. "Towards a renaissance in international business research? Big questions, grand challenges, and the future of IB scholarship," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 48(9), pages 1045-1064, December.
    9. Magnier-Watanabe, Rémy & Lemaire, Jean-Paul, 2018. "Inbound foreign direct investment in Japan: A typology," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 431-442.
    10. Spickermann, Alexander & Grienitz, Volker & von der Gracht, Heiko A., 2014. "Heading towards a multimodal city of the future?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 201-221.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:hiclch:209201. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hicl.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.