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Utilization-Adjusted TFP across Countries: Measurement and Implications for International Comovement

In: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2022

Author

Listed:
  • Zhen Huo
  • Andrei A. Levchenko
  • Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

Abstract

This paper develops estimates of TFP growth adjusted for movements in unobserved factor utilization for a panel of 29 countries and up to 37 years. When factor utilization changes are unobserved, the commonly used Solow residual mismeasures actual changes in TFP. We use a general equilibrium dynamic multi-country multi-sector model to derive a production function estimating equation that corrects for unobserved factor usage. We compare the properties of utilization-adjusted TFP series to the standard Solow residual, and quantify the roles of both TFP and utilization for international business cycle comovement. Utilization-adjusted TFP is virtually uncorrelated across countries, and does not generate much GDP comovement through its propagation. Shocks to factor utilization can more successfully account for international comovement.
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Suggested Citation

  • Zhen Huo & Andrei A. Levchenko & Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, 2022. "Utilization-Adjusted TFP across Countries: Measurement and Implications for International Comovement," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:14900
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    2. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "Technology and demand drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Working Paper Series 2533, European Central Bank.
    3. Kim, Daisoon, 2021. "Economies of scale and international business cycles," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    4. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    5. Miyamoto, Wataru & Nguyen, Thuy Lan, 2024. "International input–output linkages and changing business cycle volatility," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    6. Imbs, Jean & Pauwels, Laurent, 2020. "High Order Openness," CEPR Discussion Papers 14653, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Paul Ilhak Ko, 2020. "Dissecting Trade and Business Cycle Co-movement," 2020 Papers pko1026, Job Market Papers.
    8. Gantert, Konstantin, 2025. "Shopping Time and Frictional Goods Markets: Implications for the New-Keynesian Model," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy 325386, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. Diego A. Comin & Javier Quintana Gonzalez & Tom G. Schmitz & Antonella Trigari, 2020. "A New Measure of Utilization-adjusted TFP Growth for Europe and the United States," NBER Working Papers 28008, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain, 2025. "Why hours worked decline less after technology shocks?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    11. Julian di Giovanni & Andrei A. Levchenko & Isabelle Mejean, 2024. "Foreign Shocks as Granular Fluctuations," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 132(2), pages 391-433.
    12. Josh Martin & Rebecca Riley, 2025. "Productivity measurement: Reassessing the production function from micro to macro," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 246-279, February.
    13. Diego Comin & Javier Quintana & Tom Schmitz & Antonella Trigari, 2021. "Measuring TFP: The role of profits, adjustment costs, and capacity utilization," Working Papers 2143, Banco de España.
    14. Comin, Diego & Quintana Gonzalez, Javier & Schmitz, Tom & Trigari, Antonella, 2020. "Revisiting Productivity Dynamics in Europe: A New Measure of Utilization-Adjusted TFP Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 15402, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Dainauskas, Justas, 2024. "The network origins of trade comovement," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    16. Michael B Devereux & Karine Gente & Changhua Yu, 2023. "Production Networks And International Fiscal Spillovers," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(653), pages 1871-1900.
    17. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "Technological and non-technological drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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